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What are the main obstacles to Hezbollah disarmament?
Hezbollah refuses to disarm mainly because it views its weapons as essential for national security and regional resistance. Ongoing Israeli strikes and threats reinforce their stance that disarmament is not feasible without significant regional changes. Additionally, Lebanon's political landscape and regional alliances make disarmament negotiations highly complex.
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How is US diplomacy influencing Lebanon’s negotiations?
The US is actively pressuring Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, emphasizing the importance of government control over weapons. US envoy Tom Barrack has been advocating for disarmament, but Lebanon's political factions, especially Hezbollah, remain resistant. US efforts are aimed at reducing regional tensions, but they face significant challenges due to Hezbollah's strategic importance in Lebanon.
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Why does Hezbollah refuse to disarm without Israeli withdrawal?
Hezbollah insists that its weapons are vital for Lebanon’s defense, especially given Israel’s ongoing military actions and occupation of strategic points. The group argues that disarmament should only happen after Israel withdraws from these areas, viewing their arms as a deterrent against future Israeli aggression.
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What are the risks of ongoing tensions in Lebanon and the Middle East?
Continued tensions threaten regional stability, risking new conflicts and humanitarian crises. The stalemate over Hezbollah’s disarmament keeps Lebanon vulnerable to external influences and internal unrest. Persistent conflict could also escalate into broader regional confrontations, impacting global security and economic stability.
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Could regional changes lead to Hezbollah disarmament?
Major regional shifts, such as a change in Israeli policies or a broader peace agreement, might create conditions for disarmament. However, given the current mistrust and ongoing conflicts, such changes seem distant. Hezbollah’s leadership remains committed to maintaining its weapons until they see a strategic advantage or regional stability.
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What role does regional and international support play in Hezbollah’s stance?
Hezbollah receives support from Iran and Syria, which bolsters its position and resistance to disarmament. International pressure, especially from the US, aims to weaken Hezbollah’s military capabilities, but regional alliances and support networks make disarmament negotiations difficult and complex.