Since October 10, a fragile ceasefire has been in place in Gaza, following intense international negotiations involving the US, Israel, Hamas, and mediators from Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey. While some progress has been made, key issues remain unresolved, and the situation remains tense. Many are wondering whether the ceasefire will hold, what challenges lie ahead, and what could happen if it breaks down. Below, we explore the current status, ongoing issues, international involvement, and potential future scenarios.
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What’s the current status of the Gaza ceasefire?
As of October 16, 2025, the Gaza ceasefire is still in effect, but it remains fragile. Negotiations continue, and while some hostages have been released and aid access has improved, violence and political tensions persist. The ceasefire is holding in some areas, but there are ongoing clashes and disputes that threaten its stability.
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What are the main issues still unresolved?
Key issues include the release of all hostages, the complete withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza, and the disarmament of Hamas. Additionally, political disagreements within Hamas and Israel, as well as regional tensions, make it difficult to reach a long-term peace agreement. Humanitarian aid access remains a concern, with many civilians still in need.
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How are international mediators involved?
Mediators from the US, Qatar, Egypt, and Turkey are actively involved in negotiations to maintain the ceasefire and resolve outstanding issues. They facilitate dialogue between Israel and Hamas, help coordinate humanitarian aid, and work to prevent escalation. Their role is crucial in trying to keep the peace process alive amid ongoing tensions.
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What could happen if the ceasefire breaks down?
If the ceasefire collapses, renewed violence and escalation are likely. This could lead to increased casualties, further destruction in Gaza, and a potential wider regional conflict. The breakdown could also complicate international efforts to broker peace and could result in harsher military responses from Israel.
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Is there a chance for a long-term peace deal?
Currently, a comprehensive long-term peace deal remains uncertain. While the ceasefire provides a temporary pause, underlying political and territorial disputes are unresolved. Achieving lasting peace will require significant negotiations, regional cooperation, and addressing core issues like Palestinian statehood and security guarantees.
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What is the role of regional countries like Qatar and Egypt?
Qatar and Egypt are mediating to keep the ceasefire alive and facilitate negotiations. They have close ties with Hamas and Israel, respectively, and are working to prevent further escalation. Their involvement is vital in regional diplomacy, but they also face internal and external pressures that influence their roles.