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Will the Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal last?
While the peace agreement is a major breakthrough, lasting peace depends on ongoing negotiations, trust-building, and regional cooperation. Historical conflicts in the region have shown that peace agreements often face challenges, especially when underlying tensions and territorial disputes remain unresolved.
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What are the strategic benefits of the US lease through Armenia?
The US has secured a 99-year lease of a strategic corridor through Armenia, connecting Azerbaijan to its exclave Nakhchivan. This corridor bypasses Iran and enhances US influence in the region, offering economic and military advantages while weakening Iran's regional role.
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How might neighboring countries respond to this new peace deal?
Iran and Russia have expressed concerns about the deal, fearing increased US influence and regional instability. Turkey, however, welcomed the agreement, seeing it as an opportunity to boost regional connectivity and exports. The reactions of these neighbors could influence the deal's long-term success.
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What historical conflicts does this peace deal aim to resolve?
The deal seeks to end decades of conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, a region with a majority ethnic Armenian population within Azerbaijan. The conflict has led to military clashes and displacement, and this agreement aims to establish recognized borders and peace between the two nations.
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Could this peace deal change regional power dynamics?
Yes, the agreement shifts regional influence, with the US gaining a strategic foothold and reducing Russian dominance. It also alters trade routes and regional alliances, potentially leading to a new geopolitical landscape in the Caucasus and surrounding areas.
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What are the risks of implementing this peace agreement?
Risks include opposition from Iran and Russia, potential flare-ups of violence, and internal political challenges within Armenia and Azerbaijan. Effective implementation will require sustained diplomatic efforts and regional cooperation.