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Why are Guinea-Bissau's election results disputed?
The election results are disputed because both main candidates, Embalo and Dias, claim they have surpassed the 50% threshold needed for outright victory. The situation is complicated by the exclusion of the opposition party PAIGC from the ballot, which has intensified tensions and claims of unfairness. The National Electoral Commission has not yet confirmed the provisional results, adding to the uncertainty.
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What are the main claims from both candidates?
President Embalo asserts that he has won the election outright and urges rivals to respect the process. Meanwhile, Dias and his supporters claim they have also achieved victory, arguing that the electoral process was fair and transparent. Both sides are calling for their victory to be recognized, which has led to a political standoff.
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How does Guinea-Bissau's political history influence this election?
Guinea-Bissau has a history of coups, political instability, and contested elections. The recent exclusion of the main opposition party, PAIGC, from the ballot is part of a pattern of political upheaval. This turbulent background has made the current dispute more volatile, with fears of further unrest and instability.
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When will the final election results be announced?
The National Electoral Commission is expected to announce the provisional results by November 27, 2025. However, given the disputes and claims from both candidates, the final official results may take longer to confirm, and the situation could remain uncertain until then.
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What could happen next in Guinea-Bissau's election crisis?
Depending on how the dispute unfolds, Guinea-Bissau could face increased political tension, protests, or even violence. International observers are closely monitoring the situation, and there may be calls for dialogue or intervention to ensure a peaceful resolution. The outcome will significantly impact the country's stability and democratic future.