Lebanon’s military has recently extended control over southern regions, aiming to disarm Hezbollah and restore stability after the 2024 conflict with Israel. But what does this move really mean for regional peace, and what are the next steps? Below, we explore the key questions surrounding Lebanon’s ongoing disarmament process, the role of regional tensions, and what the future might hold for Lebanon’s security landscape.
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Why is Lebanon’s army extending control now?
Lebanon’s army is extending control as part of a broader effort to disarm non-state armed groups like Hezbollah following the 2024 ceasefire. This move aims to establish a monopoly on weapons south of the Litani River, but ongoing Israeli strikes and territorial occupation complicate the process. The government hopes this will lead to greater stability and reconstruction, but challenges remain.
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What does this mean for Hezbollah and regional stability?
Hezbollah’s resistance to disarmament and ongoing political support complicate Lebanon’s efforts. The group’s influence and military strength remain significant, and resistance to disarmament could lead to renewed tensions or conflict. Regional stability is also affected by Israeli strikes and the broader geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
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How are tensions with Israel affecting disarmament efforts?
Israeli strikes and occupation of strategic points in Lebanon continue to hinder disarmament. Despite a ceasefire, Israel maintains a military presence and conducts daily strikes, which undermine Lebanon’s control efforts and escalate tensions. These ongoing hostilities make disarmament a complex and delicate process.
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What’s the future of Lebanon’s security situation?
The future remains uncertain. While Lebanon’s army has made progress in controlling southern regions, Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s resistance pose ongoing challenges. The risk of renewed conflict persists, and regional tensions could escalate if disarmament efforts stall or if hostilities flare up again.
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Could there be a new conflict in Lebanon?
Yes, the risk of renewed conflict remains high. Ongoing Israeli strikes, Hezbollah’s resistance, and political instability create a volatile environment. The international community continues to watch closely, hoping for peaceful resolution, but tensions could escalate if current efforts fail.
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What role does international pressure play in Lebanon’s disarmament?
International actors, including the US and UN, are pushing for disarmament and stability. However, Lebanon’s internal politics and regional tensions complicate these efforts. International pressure aims to support peace, but ultimately, Lebanon’s own political will and regional dynamics will determine the outcome.