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Will the Syrian government and Kurds maintain peace?
The recent deal sees Syrian government forces deploying in Kurdish-majority areas like Qamishli and Hassakeh, aiming to integrate Kurdish institutions into the Syrian state. While this could lead to greater stability, Kurdish leaders and residents remain cautious, fearing betrayal or loss of autonomy. The success of this peace depends on ongoing trust and the implementation of agreements.
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What are the main challenges to Syria’s territorial unity?
Despite the recent peace deal, challenges remain, including Kurdish fears of losing their autonomy, Turkey’s opposition to Kurdish influence, and regional powers’ interests. Additionally, disputes over control of oil fields and border crossings could threaten Syria’s territorial integrity in the long run.
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How might US involvement change in Syria?
The US has recently shifted its military presence, conducting strikes against ISIS and withdrawing from key bases like Al-Tanf. While the US continues to target ISIS remnants, its reduced footprint signals a move away from direct involvement. Future US actions will likely focus on counterterrorism and regional stability, but their influence may diminish as Syria seeks to assert full control.
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What does this mean for regional stability?
The peace deal could stabilize parts of Syria, but tensions with Turkey and other regional actors remain high. The deal’s success depends on how well Syria manages Kurdish autonomy and regional rivalries. If managed carefully, it could lead to a more stable Syria, but unresolved conflicts and external influences pose ongoing risks.
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Could this peace deal lead to lasting stability in Syria?
While the agreement is a positive step, lasting peace in Syria will require addressing underlying issues like Kurdish autonomy, regional rivalries, and economic recovery. International support and continued dialogue are essential to prevent future conflicts and build a sustainable peace.
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What role does regional and international support play now?
International players like the US, Russia, and Turkey have significant influence over Syria’s future. US support for the peace process and Russia’s backing of the Syrian government are crucial. Their involvement can either bolster stability or complicate the peace efforts, depending on how their interests align.