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Israelis say Iran won, and trust in Netanyahu falls as US-Iran talks continue

What's happened

Polls show Israelis believe Iran has gained from the conflict and the US-Iran deal; long-term security for Israel is seen as weakened, and Netanyahu’s leadership faces growing criticism as US-Iran talks proceed.

What's behind the headline?

Key takeaways

  • Israelis believe Iran has won the conflict, and Israel’s security posture is viewed as weakened.
  • Netanyahu’s premiership faces sharp criticism; support has diminished as US-Iran diplomacy progresses.
  • A substantial minority still backs renewed military action against Hezbollah, signaling limited appetite for diplomacy among some voters.

Why it matters

The findings reflect a domestic recalibration as Israel weighs its strategic options in a shifting regional landscape, with Washington’s deals shaping public perception of leadership and security.

What to watch

Expect ongoing scrutiny of Netanyahu’s strategy and potential shifts in Israeli political calculations ahead of elections.

How we got here

Surveys conducted mid-June 2026 by Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Agam Institute reveal widespread pessimism in Israel about the war against Iran, the US-Iran agreement, and Netanyahu’s leadership amid regional tensions and renewed calls for action against Hezbollah.

Our analysis

The Times of Israel (June 21-24, 2026), The Guardian (June 21, 2026), Independent (June 21, 2026), The New Arab (June 21, 2026) — all reporting the same Hebrew University/Agam Institute poll data and its implications.

Go deeper

  • Will Netanyahu’s approval rebound if US-Iran diplomacy falters?
  • Could Israelis support renewed action against Hezbollah if the US-Iran deal evolves?
  • How will the US’s stance influence Israel’s political calculations ahead of elections?

More on these topics

  • Iran (Islamic Republic of Iran) - Country in the Middle East

    Iran, also called Persia, and officially the Islamic Republic of Iran, is a country in Western Asia. It is bordered to the northwest by Armenia and Azerbaijan, to the north by the Caspian Sea, to the northeast by Turkmenistan, to the east by Afghanistan a

  • Israel - Country in the Middle East

    Israel, formally known as the State of Israel, is a country in Western Asia, located on the southeastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea and the northern shore of the Red Sea.

  • Hezbollah - Political party

    Hezbollah is a Shia Islamist political party and militant group based in Lebanon. Hezbollah's paramilitary wing is the Jihad Council, and its political wing is the Loyalty to the Resistance Bloc party in the Lebanese parliament.

  • Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel

    Benjamin Netanyahu is an Israeli politician serving as Prime Minister of Israel since 2009, and previously from 1996 to 1999. Netanyahu is also the Chairman of the Likud – National Liberal Movement.

  • Lebanon - Country in the Middle East

    Lebanon, officially known as the Lebanese Republic, is a country in Western Asia. It is bordered by Syria to the north and east and Israel to the south, while Cyprus lies west across the Mediterranean Sea.

  • United States - Country in North America

    The United States of America, commonly known as the United States or America, is a country mostly located in central North America, between Canada and Mexico.

  • Hamas

    Hamas is a Palestinian Sunni-Islamic fundamentalist militant organization. It has a social service wing, Dawah, and a military wing, the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades.

  • Gaza Strip

    The Gaza Strip, or simply Gaza, is a self-governing Palestinian territory on the eastern coast of the Mediterranean Sea, that borders Egypt on the southwest for 11 kilometers and Israel on the east and north along a 51 km border.


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