What's happened
A Hebrew University survey of 3,644 Israelis finds widespread belief that Iran gained from the US-Iran deal and that Israel’s long-term security has weakened. Netanyahu’s leadership faces growing scrutiny, with broad opposition to the deal and significant doubts about offensive gains.
What's behind the headline?
Key takeaways
- Iran is seen as the winner by 92.1% of respondents; Israel’s long-term security is perceived as weakened by 82.9%.
- Netanyahu’s premiership is under pressure as 72.5% doubt his claims of achievements and 56.4% rate his management as failed/poor.
- Despite dissatisfaction, support for renewed action against Hezbollah remains high at 48.2%.
What this signals
- The public mood is shifting toward scrutiny of leadership decisions and U.S. engagement in the region.
- If perceptions persist, domestic political pressure could influence future security choices and coalition dynamics.
- The data raises questions about campaign messaging and public trust in official narratives.
How we got here
The poll, conducted June 17–20 by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem with the Agam Institute, surveys public opinion after a six-week military campaign against Iran linked to the US-Iran deal and regional tensions.
Our analysis
The Guardian, The Times of Israel, The New Arab – all report similar figures from the same June 17–20 poll of 3,644 Israelis. Across outlets, 93.1% say Iran won among Netanyahu supporters; 72.5% doubt claims of achievements; 56.4% rate leadership as failed/poor. Differences lie in emphasis on Trump’s role and the interpretation of long-term security outcomes.
Go deeper
- What explains the gap between public opinion and government messaging?
- How might this affect Israel’s upcoming political calculations or coalition stability?
- Will regional players adjust their strategies in response to this sentiment?
More on these topics
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Hezbollah - Political party
Hezbollah is a Shia Islamist political party and militant group based in Lebanon. Hezbollah's paramilitary wing is the Jihad Council, and its political wing is the Loyalty to the Resistance Bloc party in the Lebanese parliament.
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Iran (Islamic Republic of Iran) - Country in the Middle East
Iran, also called Persia, and officially the Islamic Republic of Iran, is a country in Western Asia. It is bordered to the northwest by Armenia and Azerbaijan, to the north by the Caspian Sea, to the northeast by Turkmenistan, to the east by Afghanistan a
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Israel - Country in the Middle East
Israel, formally known as the State of Israel, is a country in Western Asia, located on the southeastern shore of the Mediterranean Sea and the northern shore of the Red Sea.
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Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel
Benjamin Netanyahu is an Israeli politician serving as Prime Minister of Israel since 2009, and previously from 1996 to 1999. Netanyahu is also the Chairman of the Likud – National Liberal Movement.
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Lebanon - Country in the Middle East
Lebanon, officially known as the Lebanese Republic, is a country in Western Asia. It is bordered by Syria to the north and east and Israel to the south, while Cyprus lies west across the Mediterranean Sea.
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United States - Country in North America
The United States of America, commonly known as the United States or America, is a country mostly located in central North America, between Canada and Mexico.