What's happened
Polls show Israelis believe Iran has gained from the conflict and the US-Iran deal; long-term security for Israel is seen as weakened, and Netanyahu’s leadership faces growing criticism as US-Iran talks proceed.
What's behind the headline?
Key takeaways
- Israelis believe Iran has won the conflict, and Israel’s security posture is viewed as weakened.
- Netanyahu’s premiership faces sharp criticism; support has diminished as US-Iran diplomacy progresses.
- A substantial minority still backs renewed military action against Hezbollah, signaling limited appetite for diplomacy among some voters.
Why it matters
The findings reflect a domestic recalibration as Israel weighs its strategic options in a shifting regional landscape, with Washington’s deals shaping public perception of leadership and security.
What to watch
Expect ongoing scrutiny of Netanyahu’s strategy and potential shifts in Israeli political calculations ahead of elections.
How we got here
Surveys conducted mid-June 2026 by Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Agam Institute reveal widespread pessimism in Israel about the war against Iran, the US-Iran agreement, and Netanyahu’s leadership amid regional tensions and renewed calls for action against Hezbollah.
Our analysis
The Times of Israel (June 21-24, 2026), The Guardian (June 21, 2026), Independent (June 21, 2026), The New Arab (June 21, 2026) — all reporting the same Hebrew University/Agam Institute poll data and its implications.
Go deeper
- Will Netanyahu’s approval rebound if US-Iran diplomacy falters?
- Could Israelis support renewed action against Hezbollah if the US-Iran deal evolves?
- How will the US’s stance influence Israel’s political calculations ahead of elections?
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