What's happened
Recent polls indicate Donald Trump’s approval ratings are falling, especially among men and Black voters, amid ongoing investigations and controversial policies. Support fluctuates as legal and political issues impact his standing ahead of 2028 elections. Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2025.
What's behind the headline?
The recent polling data underscores a significant shift in Trump’s support base, driven by multiple factors. The decline among Black voters, with disapproval rising to over 71%, reflects broader dissatisfaction with his policies and handling of racial issues. Support among men has also dropped sharply, from over 54% to around 47%, largely due to economic concerns and immigration policies. The polls reveal that Trump's core strengths—perceived strength and leadership—are being challenged by issues like the Epstein case and economic dissatisfaction. The divergence between Republican support (nearly 90%) and disapproval from Democrats and independents highlights the deepening partisan divide. The timing suggests that these issues will likely influence upcoming midterm and presidential elections, as the public reacts to perceived transparency failures and policy impacts. The ongoing controversy over Epstein and the administration’s handling of the case continues to erode trust, especially among supporters who expected transparency. Meanwhile, the polls also show that despite declining approval ratings, Trump maintains a strong base within the Republican Party, which could influence the party’s strategy moving forward. Overall, the data indicates that Trump’s political standing is increasingly fragile, with key demographics turning away amid legal and policy controversies, foreshadowing a challenging electoral landscape.
What the papers say
The polling data from Reuters/Ipsos, CBS/YouGov, Gallup, and other surveys present a complex picture. While some outlets like The Independent highlight a decline in approval, others like The Post and Axios suggest Trump’s support remains resilient within his base. For example, The Independent reports that 83% of Republicans approve of Trump, yet polls show a sharp decline among independents and Black voters. The New York Post’s commentary emphasizes Trump’s perceived strength despite these numbers, quoting a commentator who claims 'the country is moving towards Trump.' Conversely, The Independent’s analysis points to a broad disapproval trend, especially among key demographics, driven by issues like Epstein and economic concerns. The contrasting opinions reflect the polarized nature of current political discourse, with some sources emphasizing resilience and others highlighting vulnerability. The overall picture suggests that while Trump’s core supporters remain loyal, his approval ratings are increasingly fragile, especially among swing voters and minority groups, which could have significant implications for future elections.
How we got here
Since taking office, Trump’s approval has been deeply polarized, with strong support from Republicans and significant disapproval from Democrats and independents. Recent investigations into Jeffrey Epstein and immigration policies have intensified scrutiny, affecting his popularity among key demographics. Polls show a decline in overall approval, especially among men and Black voters, amid concerns over transparency and policy impacts.
Go deeper
Common question
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Why Is Trump's Support Waning? What Does It Mean for the Future?
Recent polls show a decline in Donald Trump's approval ratings, driven by issues like immigration policies and ongoing investigations. Many are wondering why support is dropping and what this could mean for upcoming elections. Below, we explore the key reasons behind this shift and answer common questions about Trump's changing popularity.
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What Do Recent Polls Say About Trump's Chances in Future Elections?
Recent polls reveal a shifting landscape for Donald Trump’s political future. Support among different groups is changing, especially amid ongoing investigations and controversial immigration policies. Many are wondering how these factors influence his chances in upcoming elections. Below, we explore what the latest data shows and what experts are saying about his prospects.
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Why Is Trump’s Approval Rating Dropping Now?
Recent polls indicate a decline in Donald Trump’s approval ratings, raising questions about what’s influencing public opinion. Factors like ongoing scandals, legal investigations, and controversial policies are playing a role in shifting support. Curious about how these issues impact his chances in upcoming elections and what different voter groups are saying? Below, we explore the key reasons behind the decline and what it means for Trump’s political future.
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Why Are Trump’s Approval Ratings Dropping Now?
Recent polls indicate a decline in Donald Trump’s approval ratings, driven by ongoing legal investigations and controversial policies. Many wonder what factors are influencing public opinion and what this means for his political future. Below, we explore the key reasons behind the shift in support and answer common questions about his current standing.
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Why Are Trump’s Approval Ratings Dropping Now?
Recent polls indicate a decline in Donald Trump’s approval ratings, raising questions about what’s causing this shift. From investigations into Jeffrey Epstein to changing support among key demographics, many factors are at play. Curious about how current events are impacting Trump’s standing and what it means for upcoming elections? Keep reading to find out more.
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