What's happened
As of early January 2026, Ukraine faces intense Russian drone and missile attacks targeting energy infrastructure and civilian areas, causing casualties and widespread power outages. Amid ongoing violence, Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and U.S. President Trump are engaged in peace negotiations, with a 20-point peace framework reportedly 90% complete, focusing on security guarantees and territorial disputes, including Donbas and nuclear plant control.
What's behind the headline?
Escalation Amid Diplomacy
Despite intensive peace talks between Ukraine and the U.S., Russia continues to escalate military pressure through large-scale drone and missile strikes, particularly targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure. This dual approach of negotiation and aggression reflects Moscow's strategy to maintain leverage while undermining Ukraine's resilience.
The Complexity of Peace Negotiations
The 20-point peace framework, nearing completion, highlights critical sticking points: territorial control of Donbas and the status of the Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant. Ukraine's willingness to consider troop withdrawals contrasts with Russia's demands for full territorial concessions, complicating prospects for a swift resolution.
Security Guarantees and International Involvement
Ukraine seeks NATO-like security guarantees, including potential deployment of European forces to deter future Russian aggression. Russia's firm rejection of foreign troops in Ukraine and labeling them as "legitimate targets" underscores the high stakes and risks of escalation.
Impact on Civilians and Infrastructure
Russian strikes have caused civilian casualties, including children, and widespread power outages amid harsh winter conditions, intensifying humanitarian concerns. Ukraine's counterstrikes on Russian energy facilities aim to disrupt Moscow's war financing but risk further escalation.
Forecast
The peace process will likely remain fragile and protracted. Continued military actions suggest Russia is unwilling to concede ground easily, while Ukraine balances between securing international support and making difficult compromises. The upcoming meetings between Zelenskyy and Trump are pivotal but unlikely to yield immediate peace without addressing core territorial and security issues.
What the papers say
The New York Times' David E. Sanger highlights Russia's uncompromising stance, quoting Kremlin diplomat Sergey Lavrov warning that European troops in Ukraine would be "legitimate targets," underscoring Moscow's hardline position. The Independent and Sky News detail the extensive Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, emphasizing the humanitarian toll and the strategic targeting of energy facilities. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's statements, reported by Reuters and AP News, stress the urgency of air defense supplies and the near completion of a 20-point peace plan, while cautioning against a "weak" peace deal. Al Jazeera reports on the deadly drone strike in Russian-occupied Kherson, illustrating the conflict's ongoing violence despite diplomatic efforts. The Japan Times and Reuters note the simultaneous intensification of talks overseen by President Trump, reflecting the complex interplay between diplomacy and warfare. These sources collectively portray a conflict marked by persistent violence amid cautious optimism for a negotiated settlement, with significant disagreements over territorial control and security guarantees.
How we got here
The nearly four-year conflict began with Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, leading to sustained fighting over eastern regions like Donbas. Diplomatic efforts, led by the U.S. under President Trump, aim to broker peace despite ongoing Russian military offensives targeting Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, especially energy facilities, to weaken Ukraine during winter.
Go deeper
- What are the main sticking points in the Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations?
- How are drone attacks affecting civilians in Ukraine?
- What role is the U.S. playing in brokering peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Common question
-
Why Did Russia Launch Over 650 Drones and 38 Missiles at Ukraine?
Russia's recent large-scale attack on Ukraine involved over 650 drones and 38 missiles, causing significant damage and casualties. Many wonder why Russia chose such a massive strike, especially during the holiday season. This attack raises questions about Russia's military strategy, its impact on Ukraine, and what it means for ongoing peace efforts. Below, we explore the reasons behind this intense assault and what it signifies for the future of the conflict.
-
Are Ukraine and US Close to Peace Negotiations with Russia?
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has kept the world on edge, with diplomatic efforts and military actions shaping the future of the region. While Ukraine and the US are seeking high-level peace talks, significant obstacles remain. Many wonder if peace is truly within reach or if the war will continue to escalate. Below, we explore the current state of negotiations, the main hurdles, and what might come next.
-
How Are Ongoing Conflicts and Diplomatic Efforts Shaping Global Stability?
The world is watching a complex web of conflicts and diplomatic negotiations that influence global peace and security. From the Ukraine-Russia war to regional violence in Syria, and international migration policies, these events raise important questions about the future of global stability. Below, we explore key questions about ongoing conflicts, diplomatic talks, and their wider impact on the world stage.
-
What Do Recent Global Events Tell Us About International Relations?
Recent headlines reveal a complex picture of ongoing conflicts, diplomatic efforts, and geopolitical shifts. From peace talks in Ukraine to violence in Syria, these events shape the future of international relations. Here are some key questions and insights to help you understand what these developments mean for the world today.
-
Why Are Ukraine and Russia's Tensions Escalating Now?
The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has seen recent escalations, with increased missile and drone attacks on Kyiv and surrounding regions. These hostilities come amid fragile peace talks and international efforts to broker a ceasefire. Many are wondering what’s driving the current surge in tensions and what it means for the future of the conflict. Below, we explore the key reasons behind the recent escalation and what might happen next.
-
How Are Space Activities Linked to Military Technology?
Recent developments in space exploration and satellite launches are increasingly intertwined with military and strategic interests. Countries are leveraging space technology for surveillance, reconnaissance, and defense purposes, raising questions about the implications for global security. Below, we explore how space activities are shaping military capabilities and international relations today.
-
How Do Ongoing Conflicts Like Ukraine-Russia Affect Global Stability?
Current conflicts such as the Ukraine-Russia war have far-reaching impacts beyond their borders. They influence international peace, escalate risks of wider conflict, and involve major powers in regional disputes. Understanding these dynamics helps clarify how regional tensions can threaten global stability and what the future might hold amid ongoing hostilities.
-
Can Ukraine and the US Reach Peace Amid Ongoing Strikes?
The conflict between Ukraine and Russia continues to escalate, with recent missile and drone strikes causing widespread damage and casualties. Meanwhile, Ukraine's leaders are engaging in high-level talks with the US, aiming to find a path toward peace. But with Russia refusing to back down, many wonder: can Ukraine and the US really reach peace amid these ongoing hostilities? Below, we explore the latest developments, diplomatic efforts, and what they mean for global stability.
-
How Are Global Politics and Industry Changes Shaping 2026?
2026 is shaping up to be a pivotal year in world affairs, with ongoing conflicts, shifting industry policies, and geopolitical tensions influencing the global landscape. From peace negotiations in Ukraine to industry shifts in electric vehicles and escalating tensions in Venezuela, understanding these developments helps make sense of the complex world we live in. Below, we explore the key questions driving international news this year.
More on these topics
-
Donald John Trump is an American politician, media personality, and businessman who served as the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021.
-
Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe. It is the second-largest European country after Russia, which borders it to the east and northeast.
-
Russia, or the Russian Federation, is a transcontinental country located in Eastern Europe and Northern Asia. Covering an area of 17,125,200 square kilometres, it is the largest country in the world by area, spanning more than one-eighth of the Earth's in
-
Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin is a Russian politician and former intelligence officer who has served as President of Russia since 2012, previously holding the position from 1999 until 2008.
-
Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy is a Ukrainian politician, actor and comedian who is the 6th and current president of Ukraine, serving since May 2019.
-
Steven Charles Witkoff is an American real estate investor and landlord based in New York City, and founder of the Witkoff Group.
-
Kyiv, also Kiev, is the capital and most populous city of Ukraine. Located in the north-central part of the country, it straddles both sides of the Dnieper River. As of 1 January 2022, its population was 2,952,301, making Kyiv the seventh-most populous...
-
Dmitry Sergeyevich Peskov is a Russian diplomat, translator and Turkologist. Since 2012, Peskov has been the Press Secretary for the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin.
-
Mark Joseph Carney OC is an economist and banker who served as the Governor of the Bank of Canada from 2008 until 2013 and the Governor of the Bank of England from 2013 to 2020.