What's happened
Cuba is experiencing a severe economic crisis worsened by US sanctions, fuel shortages, and the loss of Venezuelan oil. The government struggles with power outages, transportation issues, and food shortages, amid ongoing US efforts to push for regime change. Discussions between Cuba and the US are ongoing but have yet to produce results.
What's behind the headline?
The current crisis exposes the fragility of Cuba's economic model and the effectiveness of US sanctions. The US aims to weaken the regime through economic strangulation, hoping to induce political change. However, this approach risks deepening humanitarian suffering, as shortages of fuel, medicine, and food worsen. The potential for US-led military or naval interventions, such as a blockade, could escalate tensions further. Meanwhile, Cuba's government maintains it is willing to dialogue on its terms, but its capacity to withstand prolonged hardship is limited. The international response, especially from Mexico and Russia, indicates a broader geopolitical contest over influence in the Caribbean. The crisis will likely accelerate Cuba's economic collapse unless alternative support emerges, and regime change efforts will intensify, possibly leading to increased instability in the region.
What the papers say
The Guardian reports that Cuba is in its weakest state in decades, with the US actively seeking regime change, but lacking a detailed plan beyond economic pressure. France 24 highlights the worsening shortages, power cuts, and public unrest, with international aid efforts underway. The NY Post emphasizes the political dimension, with US officials and Cuban exiles calling for increased pressure and regime change, while Mexico and Russia condemn US sanctions and support Cuba diplomatically. The articles collectively depict a complex geopolitical struggle, with economic collapse imminent unless external support or policy shifts occur.
How we got here
Cuba's economy has long been strained by a US trade embargo since 1962, compounded by reliance on subsidized oil from Venezuela under a deal that has now collapsed. The recent military strike against Venezuela and US sanctions have cut off critical oil supplies, leading to widespread shortages and power outages. The Cuban government has responded with emergency measures, including fuel rationing and reduced public services, while international allies like Mexico and Russia have condemned US actions.
Go deeper
Common question
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What’s Causing Cuba’s Economic Crisis and How Are US Sanctions Affecting It?
Cuba is facing its worst economic downturn in decades, worsened by US sanctions, fuel shortages, and political tensions. Many wonder what’s behind this crisis and what the future holds for Cuba and its relations with the US. Below, we explore the main causes, current challenges, and ongoing talks between the two nations.
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How Are US Foreign Policy Changes Today Impacting Global Stability?
Recent shifts in US military and diplomatic actions are reshaping the geopolitical landscape. From troop withdrawals in Syria to sanctions on Cuba, these moves raise questions about their broader implications. How do these policies influence regional stability, international relations, and global conflicts? Below, we explore the key questions and what they mean for the world today.
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