What's happened
Despite a declared ceasefire following a devastating earthquake, Myanmar's military junta has intensified air strikes against civilian areas. ASEAN leaders are struggling to mediate the ongoing conflict, with Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim engaging the junta amid criticism for potentially legitimizing its rule.
What's behind the headline?
Current Situation
- The junta's air strikes continue despite a ceasefire, indicating a lack of commitment to peace.
- ASEAN's diplomatic efforts have largely failed, with the junta excluded from high-level meetings due to non-compliance with peace agreements.
Regional Dynamics
- Malaysia's engagement with the junta, led by Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, is seen as a controversial move that may undermine ASEAN's collective stance against the military regime.
- The junta's meetings with leaders like Putin and Xi Jinping suggest it is seeking international support despite its isolation.
Future Implications
- The ongoing violence and humanitarian needs may lead to increased regional instability, affecting neighboring countries.
- The junta's plans for elections later this year are likely to be boycotted by opposition groups, further complicating the political landscape.
What the papers say
According to the South China Morning Post, the junta has continued its air strikes against civilian areas despite a ceasefire, with junta chief Min Aung Hlaing meeting with leaders like Putin and Xi Jinping to seek support. Meanwhile, Malaysian Foreign Minister Mohamad Hasan has called for an extension of the ceasefire, emphasizing the need for humanitarian aid and recovery efforts. However, the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners reports that over 6,600 people have been killed since the coup, highlighting the dire situation on the ground. Critics, including lawmakers from ASEAN Parliamentarians for Human Rights, argue that engaging with the junta legitimizes its rule and undermines the aspirations of the Myanmar people.
How we got here
Since the military coup in February 2021, Myanmar has been embroiled in a civil war, exacerbated by a recent earthquake in March that killed nearly 3,800 people. The junta's failure to adhere to a five-point peace plan has led to ongoing violence and humanitarian crises.
Go deeper
- What are the implications of ASEAN's engagement with the junta?
- How has the earthquake affected the humanitarian situation?
- What are the prospects for peace in Myanmar?
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