Belarusian president and longtime autocrat
Estonia's Foreign Minister states Russia is not militarily preparing to attack NATO or Baltic states. Ukrainian President Zelensky warns Russia may mobilize again or involve Belarus in its war. Ukraine reports increased military activity near Belarus, which hosts Russian forces and weapons. The situation remains tense but not imminent.
Vladimir Putin has overseen a scaled-down Victory Day parade in Moscow under heavy security, has said "the matter is coming to an end," and has offered to meet Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country only after a final peace treaty is agreed. A US-brokered three-day ceasefire and a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap have been announced for the holiday.
Belarusian and Russian forces are conducting a joint exercise to test the movement and deployment of nuclear weapons from unplanned launch sites. Officials say the drills are routine and not aimed at any third party, but Kyiv and Western partners warn of escalated nuclear risk amid Belarus’ proximity to NATO borders.
NATO fears escalate as Russia conducts a multi-day nuclear exercise with Belarus, involving thousands of troops and dozens of missiles, aircraft and ships. The drills focus on the preparation and potential use of nuclear forces under threat, with Belarus hosting and coordinating some activities amid Ukraine-related tensions.
Ukraine has warned that Russia has drawn up five offensive scenarios toward Chernihiv and Kyiv. Kyiv is increasing northern forces and pressing Belarus diplomatically as it prepares for potential cross-border activity.
Belarus is facing renewed scrutiny as Kyiv warns Minsk could serve as a launchpad for attacks and Western officials flag Belarus’ closer integration with Russia. Tsikhanouskaya has visited Kyiv to urge Belarus to avoid expanding its involvement, while Belarus and Russia have recently held nuclear drills amid ongoing fighting in Ukraine.
President Donald Trump has announced an additional 5,000 US troops will be sent to Poland after the Pentagon earlier halted a planned rotation of about 4,000 soldiers, a move that has shaken Polish leaders and NATO partners and is raising questions about the administration’s decision-making and alliance strategy.
A Russian critic-artist known as Semyon Skrepetsky has been shot dead in Biała Podlaska, Poland, close to the Belarusian border. Two Belarusian suspects are detained; authorities say the victim expressed anti-Russian views through provocative art. The incident follows his Berlin protest on Russia Day and amid ongoing tensions around Ukraine.
A bus carrying a children's soccer team from Belarus to southern Russia has been struck in the Bryansk region near Ukraine. One woman has died and several others, including children, are injured. Russia has opened a terrorism probe, with Belarus and Ukraine denying involvement.
Belarus and Russia are facing heightened tensions as Zelenskiy demands Belarus remove equipment used by Russia; Minsk has not committed to joining the war, while Kyiv warns of further actions if Belarus does not comply. The situation on Belarus’ border and its role in Russia’s war remain central as diplomats push for restraint.