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The US and Iran have exchanged fresh strikes this weekend and on Monday, reversing a recent interim ceasefire and re‑opening doubt over control of the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has declared the ceasefire "over," ordered further strikes and revoked a temporary oil waiver. Oil has jumped into the high $70s–$80s and global markets have fallen.
Refunds from court-invalidated tariffs are flowing to businesses, offsetting inflation and costs. Firms plan to use the money to offset rising expenses, reinvest, or pay down debt. The timing and distribution of the refunds could influence how price pressures transmit through the economy.
AstraZeneca has announced that Wainua, its gene-silencer drug for transthyretin-mediated amyloid cardiomyopathy, did not meet its primary endpoint in a phase 3 trial. The news triggers a sharp stock drop and prompts investors to rethink the company’s long-term growth targets and the strength of its pipeline.
The World Cup is driving spending and tourism in U.S. host cities, with hotels posting higher rates and restaurants seeing a lift in activity as fans travel to games. Early group-stage demand was uneven, but knockout games have boosted RevPAR and short-term rentals, signaling a broader economic impact beyond the stadiums.
Private credit funds have seen significant redemption requests in Q1 2026: Blackstone reported nearly 8% of investors asking for cash, while Apollo, Ares and Blue Owl have seen double-digit outflows. Managers are blaming news "noise," but withdrawals are resembling a slow-motion run that will increase liquidity stress on funds.
Oil prices remain elevated amid ongoing Iran‑related disruption, while markets price in a potential ceasefire. Banks warn long‑run inflation could drift lower on AI‑driven disinflation, but near‑term pressures keep the Fed and other central banks in a tighter stance. Investors are reassessing energy supply risk and policy outlook.
Global oil majors are posting higher first‑quarter profits as supply disruptions, including the Strait of Hormuz tension and related price spikes, bolster trading and refining margins. Shell and BP report earnings well above forecasts, while Aramco highlights a critical export artery from its east coast to the Red Sea, helping cushion markets.
Nvidia has reported $58.32 billion in profit and $81.62 billion in revenue for the February–April quarter, beating analysts’ expectations. The company has projected about $91 billion in revenue for the current quarter, while preparing a $80 billion stock buyback and boosting its dividend. Shares traded modestly after hours, with investors weighing a possible cooldown after years of AI-driven growth.
Rising fuel prices and travel costs have prompted Americans to favor nearby getaways over long international trips. Domestic leisure travel is growing modestly while households face cost pressures, with some opting for local beaches, rail journeys, and budget-conscious experiences.
Gas prices have stayed high amid ongoing tensions in the Hormuz Strait and the Iran conflict. Analyses suggest a slow rebound in prices, with travel costs and fuel affecting consumer budgets for the coming months.
Stocks rebound after major tech IPOs, with AI-focused names leading gains while volatility remains elevated. SpaceX’s blockbuster listing prompts index-weight discussions; traders weigh how dispersion and inflation signals might steer the market ahead of more mega-IPOs.
Stock volatility has re-emerged as Iran-related tensions and high AI investment drive risk. The VIX has spiked, yields are higher, and analysts warn that near-term earnings momentum could amplify swings. Midterm dynamics and valuations complicate the outlook as investors weigh rate paths.
A Guardian survey reveals about 1 million young people in the UK are not in work, education or training, a figure that could rise to 1.25 million by the early 2030s without action. Readers share practical advice on job hunting and staying resilient.
The Kalshi lead has launched perpetual futures in the US after CFTC approval, fueling debate over onshore regulation. CME Group plans litigation against the CFTC, arguing perps are swaps under the Dodd-Frank Act, while Kalshi expands offerings and trader interest surges.
China’s securities regulator has signaled a crackdown on AI-themed stock promotion and market manipulation, while supporting active ETFs in Shanghai and Shenzhen. Regulators warn they will punish illegitimate stock recommendations and rumours, as Beijing seeks to cool speculative sentiment amid an AI rally.
SpaceX has announced a senior unsecured notes offering to raise about $20 billion to refinance a bridge loan and fund expanding AI infrastructure, including Starship and Starlink. The move follows a record IPO and large cash reserves, but faces scrutiny over negative free cash flow and high capital needs.
Barclays is exploring a return to Japan’s cash equities market, hiring in Tokyo amid a rebound in Japanese stocks driven by governance reforms, rising profitability, and AI-driven market optimism. Barclays previously pulled back in 2016 but is now considering expanding its Japan presence, potentially pitting it against Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Nomura and Daiwa.
Gold and silver have paused their retreat as hawkish central-bank signals and inflation fears weigh on the metals. Oil prices stay subdued, and markets eye key U.S. data on jobs and inflation to gauge the path of monetary policy. Yields on U.S. Treasuries have moved little on the final trading day of June. This update covers developments through July 1, 2026.
The House Oversight Committee has subpoenaed former Apollo CEO Leon Black to produce nondisclosure agreements and to return for a sworn deposition on July 16 after he declined to answer questions about NDAs during a closed-door interview. Committee chair James Comer says the NDAs may connect Black to Jeffrey Epstein; Black denies wrongdoing.
Sony has announced it will stop producing physical PlayStation game discs from January 2028. New titles will be sold via the PlayStation Store or as retailer-issued download codes; games releasing before 2028 remain unaffected. The move follows years of rising digital sales and has provoked consumer backlash over ownership, preservation and the second‑hand market.
POLITICO, Independent, Business Insider UK and others report on RAISE US, a bipartisan nonprofit led by Gina Raimondo and Eric Holcomb. The group mobilizes $500m+ from tech firms to fund workforce programs, pilots in Arkansas, Maryland, Utah and Connecticut, and policy work to shield workers from AI disruption.
Gold has fallen from its 2025 peak as higher real yields and a firmer dollar weigh on prices, with analysts noting divergent drivers behind safe-haven demand and new forecasts suggesting limited upside this year.
Primark is expanding in the United States, opening stores in Willowbrook Mall (Houston area) and Castleton Square Mall (Indianapolis). Both locations will be about 30,000 square feet in size, joining a growing U.S. footprint that now reaches 44 stores. The openings follow a New York City flagship and reflect Primark’s strategy to prioritize brick-and-mortar growth in established malls.
Democratic Socialists of America-backed candidates have swept primaries in New York City and beyond, signaling a growing movement that now confronts rural areas and state legislatures.
Trump Accounts are launching with a $1,000 federal seed for babies born 2025–2028, with philanthropic and employer contributions expanding the program. Morningstar warns outcomes depend on ongoing contributions and owner behavior; leakage could erode gains. Companies pledge to match and push auto-enrollment to broaden reach.
SpaceX COO Gwynne Shotwell has donated a portion of SpaceX stock to the Trump Accounts for more than 2 million U.S. children, with emphasis on those in lower-income areas near central Texas. The move follows earlier pledges from Michael and Susan Dell and other tech giants, as the program seeds $1,000 per child and enables future retirement-style accounts. Officials say donations accelerate the accounts’ rollout.
Fed minutes show policymakers are divided on whether to raise rates this year; markets are betting on a cautious path with speculation about AI inflation and Middle East tensions affecting decisions. Warsh has not provided a clear stand as minutes reflect a range of scenarios.
Goldman Sachs has updated its personal trading policy to bar employees from trading on event-based contracts tied to the bank, elections, financial markets and geopolitics. The move aims to curb the risk of insider trading and conflicts of interest as platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi expand activity. Other banks are reviewing policies as regulators watch closely.
Business Insider UK reports Feastables, the Feastables candy line from MrBeast’s Beast Industries, has slowed growth in the US. 2025 volumes rose 13% year-on-year, down from 33% in 2024, with total 2024–2026 sales in the mid‑millions. The deck links 2024 net revenue of $215 million and a forecast of $375 million for 2025, with 2026 momentum tied to holiday editions and new product categories. Experts note significant distribution and marketing effort, but warn long-term sustainability may hinge on retained consumer repurchase.
Banks are reporting strong second-quarter earnings, driven by investment banking fees from the SpaceX IPO and a rebound in commercial lending. Wall Street traders are benefiting from volatility, while consumer credit remains resilient. Analysts expect JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to report solid results.