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Recent revisions to UK retail sales data reveal lower growth than initially reported, due to errors in seasonal adjustment. July sales increased by 0.6%, driven by online shopping and good weather, but three-month figures show a decline. Data delays and corrections highlight ongoing issues at the ONS.
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Food inflation in the UK is projected to reach 5.7% by the end of 2025, driven by rising costs from regulation, labour, and packaging. Supermarkets like Aldi report increased sales but warn that further government taxes could push prices higher. Consumer confidence remains cautious amid inflation and political uncertainty.
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The UK’s new extended producer responsibility (EPR) scheme, requiring firms to report packaging data by October 1, is expected to impose significant costs on retailers and households. Industry warns it will increase prices, add to inflation, and burden businesses with administrative costs, amid ongoing economic pressures.
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UK retail sales increased by 2.3% in September, a slowdown influenced by inflation, milder weather, and economic uncertainty ahead of the November budget. Consumer confidence remains high, but cautious spending persists amid fears of tax hikes and economic pressures.
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UK food prices fell 0.4% in October, the largest decline since late 2020, driven by lower sugar costs. Overall shop prices decreased 0.3%, with discounts in electricals and health and beauty. Food inflation remains high, especially for fresh foods, but non-food prices are now slightly lower than a year ago.
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U.S. online holiday sales reached a record $11.8 billion on Black Friday, a 9.1% increase from last year, driven by deep discounts, AI shopping tools, and mobile commerce. Consumers are spending more despite economic uncertainties, with a shift toward online shopping and buy now, pay later plans.
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The UK is promoting Small Business Saturday to encourage local shopping and support for small firms, with increased spending expected this year. Simultaneously, authorities launch the Winter of Action to improve public safety amid rising crime, including targeted patrols and knife crime reduction efforts.
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The average cost of a traditional Christmas dinner in the UK has decreased slightly to £32.46, driven by lower prices on frozen turkey and parsnips. Despite ongoing inflation, retailers are increasing promotions to support shoppers, amid economic pressures and high food prices, especially for chocolate and fresh meat.
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UK consumer spending slowed in November, with card expenditure falling 1.1% year-on-year—the largest decline since early 2021. Retail sales growth was modest, and consumer confidence remains subdued ahead of the upcoming budget, despite Black Friday sales showing some online strength.