UK government economic development bank
Prediction markets have seen a surge in notional volume in June as FIFA World Cup excitement sustains trading on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Rothera. International platforms report sustained high open interest and volumes, while regulators monitor market integrity amid heightened activity.
Prime Minister Burnham has set out a cost‑of‑living agenda, unveiling measures to ease households’ bills and launch a Northern Downing Street outpost. The plan includes VAT relief on energy, a bus fare cap, and funding to end rough sleeping, with details on funding and timelines updated as the government navigates fiscal constraints.
The government has scheduled an autumn budget for October 28 to extend public investment while sticking to fiscal rules. Leaders say the plan will fund devolution, defence, and growth strategies, but analysts warn higher borrowing costs and inflation pressures from the Iran conflict could constrain room for new spending.
The government has framed its approach to the October budget around boosting growth while preserving fiscal discipline. Chancellors have signalled a commitment to devolution, welfare reform, and a tighter budget in response to high borrowing costs and global instability.