American financial services giant; operator of major derivatives exchanges
Kalshi has launched U.S. trading of perpetual futures, marking a milestone for the platform after regulatory approval. In the first 24 hours, volume surpassed $100 million, eventually crossing $1 billion within a week as traders flock to perps that track asset prices with no expiration date.
Oil prices have risen this week after U.S. officials narrowed a waiver to the Jones Act for energy shipments and data showed U.S. crude stocks have fallen to multi-decade lows. Traders are parsing mixed statements from Washington and Tehran about talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while reparations demands have emerged, keeping markets volatile on 11 Aug 2026.
Courts have blocked Minnesota’s prediction market ban, while federal agencies push for broader regulation and states push back. The cases test federal preemption versus state gambling authority, with ongoing litigation and potential appeals shaping the future of event-contract markets.
Brent crude has fallen about 8–9% to below $88–$92 a barrel after prices briefly topped $100 last week. The drop follows pauses in US–Iran strikes and reports that both sides have halted attacks to allow diplomacy. Markets remain volatile because shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea is still disrupted and analysts warn supply risks and inflationary pressure persist.
The Federal Reserve has kept its target range at 3.5%-3.75%, with three regional presidents dissenting in favor of a quarter-point rate increase. Chair Warsh has emphasised inflation as a priority while signalling uncertainty about future moves. Markets have priced in possible action later this year as data rolls in.
The Federal Reserve has held rates steady under chair Kevin Warsh while signaling inflation remains above target. Markets are pricing in a potential rate hike later this year as dissents and communications style shape expectations.
New York state officials have filed a state Supreme Court lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging the prediction market platform operates illegally without a Gaming Commission license, endangers consumers, and should forfeit gains and pay restitution and penalties. The action adds to a broader clash over how prediction markets are regulated between states and the federal government.
Global stocks have rallied this month after officials reported progress in talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and a string of strong corporate earnings has bolstered investor sentiment. Treasuries and oil prices have fallen as traders pare back expectations for near-term Fed hikes; strategists warn valuations and one-off earnings boosts limit further upside.
Manufacturing and construction have shifted from drag to engine in the U.S. economy, with AI-driven data-center buildouts underpinning job gains in manufacturing and nonresidential construction as housing remains weak.
State prosecutors allege Kalshi has offered prediction markets without a license, exposing New York residents to financial risk and evading taxes. The suit seeks to block operations in New York and restitution for affected customers, as regulators clash over federal preemption and state authority.
The Federal Reserve has kept the benchmark rate steady in a nine-to-three vote, amid persistent inflation above the 2% goal. Dissenters argue for earlier tightening, while others urge patience; investors await July inflation data to gauge the path for policy.
AGoogle‑reported campaign shows hackers using voice phishing to target private equity firms, law firms and ratings agencies, stealing passwords and MFA codes via spoofed help desks. Several victims reportedly paid ransoms; researchers warn that the human element remains the biggest weakness in corporate security.
July payrolls have declined while the unemployment rate has fallen. Private payrolls rose, but government jobs and labor-force participation have weakened. Markets react as traders reassess the path for Federal Reserve policy.