Brazilian pollster at the heart of election coverage
Argentine president Javier Milei has insulted Brazil’s president and a top Brazilian judge while attending an event in São Paulo that confirmed Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy. Brazil has recalled its ambassador to consult with Brasília after diplomats said Milei attacked Brazil’s government, people and democracy; Lula has vowed to lead without outside interference.
Policymakers and markets are watching a widening Banco Master fraud case as authorities unseal documents and probe Flavio Bolsonaro’s ties to the funding of the Dark Horse film. Lula must confront ongoing court turmoil while Bolsonaro faces new investigations ahead of the election.
The Brazilian election is entering a decisive phase as legal battles and foreign interference concerns escalate. Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro lead a closely watched race ahead of the October runoff, with the judiciary and international pressures shaping public trust and policy direction.
Brazil's first round has not produced an outright winner, forcing a runoff between Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro on Oct. 25. Bolsonaro leads by a small margin as polls tighten; analysts warn polling may have missed late shifts. The election centers on crime, cost of living and US relations, with both candidates courting voters ahead of the critical vote.
Opinion polls and election results have shown Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva after the Oct. 4 first round, and polls released in mid‑October have kept the race within a narrow margin ahead of the Oct. 25 runoff. Bolsonaro has consolidated some endorsements while Lula has pushed a shorter workweek and social measures to energise voters.
Bolsonaro has moved Brazil closer to Israel, inviting Netanyahu to visit Brazil while Netanyahu has invited Bolsonaro to visit Israel. The two leaders are pursuing a warmer diplomatic alignment as Brazil prepares for a runoff, with broader regional shifts in Latin America toward Israel.
Brazil's electoral court has ordered Meta to apply identical rules to posts and advertising for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro after Lula's campaign alleged the company limited his reach and biased AI tools. Meta has denied political favouritism, said it fixed technical problems and faces potential daily fines if it does not comply before Sunday’s runoff.