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Forecasters warn of a wetter-than-average autumn in the UK, but drought conditions may persist into winter. Heavy rains could cause flooding, especially in dry, hard soils, while some regions remain in drought. The government’s flood taskforce is preparing for increased flood risks amid ongoing dry conditions.
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Recent studies show that the Paris Agreement has significantly reduced projected heat extremes, with the world now on track for 2.6°C warming by 2100, down from 4°C. Despite this, heat-related risks and inequalities persist, especially for small, ocean-dependent nations facing the largest increases in dangerous heat days.
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Recent reports indicate a higher likelihood of dry conditions in the UK from November to January, risking worsening drought, water shortages, and environmental impacts. Despite some rainfall, reservoirs remain below average, and authorities warn of potential restrictions and long-term resilience challenges.