Oil, Iran, and market turmoil push gold to new heights. Gold: precious metal, symbol Au, atomic number 79.
Oil prices rose sharply following increased tensions in the Middle East, with WTI and Brent climbing over 8-14%. Markets reacted with volatility, as investors weigh the potential for supply disruptions and economic impacts amid ongoing Iran conflict and US political signals. The situation remains fluid as the war's duration and consequences unfold.
The Bank of England has voted 8-1 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% and has published three scenarios showing higher near-term inflation because of the Iran war and energy-price shock. Governor Andrew Bailey has said the path for policy will depend on the size and duration of the energy shock; chief economist Huw Pill has dissented for a 0.25pp rise.
The AI-driven memory-chip rally has continued this week. SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics have joined trillion-dollar valuations while the broader Kospi shows renewed volatility amid global AI market enthusiasm and new IPO chatter.
Global airlines face a sharp rise in jet-fuel costs as conflict in the Middle East pushes up oil prices. IATA now forecasts profits will fall sharply in 2026, driving airlines to raise fares and adjust routes while governments seek safety measures.
The ECB has raised its policy rate to 2.25% as inflation remains a concern amid a war-linked energy shock. Markets are watching next week’s meetings with the Fed, BOJ and BoE, with analysts signaling a cautious path ahead.
The World Bank has cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5% and has warned growth could fall to 1.3% if disruptions to oil and fertiliser flows from the Middle East persist. Rising energy and food costs are pushing inflation higher and hitting developing countries hardest; the bank has pledged up to $100bn in support.
Global markets hold steady as US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signals a cautious pause, with oil prices stabilising after recent falls. UK inflation data supports expectations of a hold on rates, while energy assets rally on easing supply concerns.
Gold and silver prices have eased as investors weigh hawkish central-bank signals and the potential for higher rates. Macquarie sees the path for bullion as range-bound this year, with 2026 forecasts nudging higher before a 2027 decline. Markets are pricing in a September rate hike.