British political scientist; Strathclyde professor and NSRC fellow, specializing in electoral behaviour
Labour has seen a small improvement in polling under Andy Burnham, but experts say the gains may be fragile. Reform UK faces scrutiny over funding and leadership turmoil, while the rise of Restore Britain adds to a fragmented right. Across multiple polls, Labour’s share remains around the low to mid-20s, with Reform similarly challenged.
The Scottish government has published a draft independence referendum bill to set out the proposed question and eligible voters. Reform UK and other critics argue about the threshold needed for a fresh vote, with the SNP’s and Greens' support waning in recent elections. Westminster remains firm that another referendum is off limits.
The Liberal Democrats have a conference that is meant to mark a gear shift, yet internal criticism suggests a failure to capitalise on past gains. MPs describe a lack of energy and clarity, with concerns that the party is losing social media traction to rivals while strategists debate how bold to be in messaging.
Labour has retained Sir Keir Starmer’s former seat in Holborn and St Pancras with Sagal Abdi-Wali winning 45% of the vote. Zack Polanski’s Green bid finished second at about 33% with turnout near 39%. The result signals Labour’s continued appeal to urban, diverse voters while raising questions for the Greens about leadership and strategy after their conference motion equating Zionism with racism.