British multinational professional services network; one of the Big Four
The job market has shown renewed strength in May with robust hiring across multiple sectors, led by healthcare and leisure and hospitality. Unemployment remains near historic lows, even as inflation pressures persist and energy costs rise amid the Iran conflict. Analysts caution that hiring momentum varies by sector and region.
The Fed has maintained rates and launched a set of internal task forces under Warsh to overhaul communications, data usage, and inflation strategy, signaling a shift toward a Greenspan-era style of policy and increasing market volatility expectations.
Europe endures a record heat wave tied to climate change as France faces rising deaths. Only ~20% of European homes have air conditioning, compared with ~90% in the U.S., highlighting a widening cooling gap and policy tensions across the continent.
Nationwide reports that annual house price growth has picked up to 2.2% in June, while month-on-month prices are flat. Mortgage rates remain elevated but could ease if energy prices stay soft. Buyers are cautious; sellers are pricing carefully amid a slower summer and uncertain outlook.
Mortgage rates have edged higher in recent weeks as oil prices ease and inflation concerns linger. Lenders report steadier but uncertain demand for both home purchases and refinancing, with expectations for rate movements remaining volatile amid geopolitical tensions.
The US and Iran have exchanged fresh strikes this weekend and on Monday, reversing a recent interim ceasefire and re‑opening doubt over control of the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has declared the ceasefire "over," ordered further strikes and revoked a temporary oil waiver. Oil has jumped into the high $70s–$80s and global markets have fallen.
Reuters and independent sources report JD Wetherspoon’s profit outlook has worsened amid higher food, labour and energy costs, as like-for-like sales rise modestly but profit guidance remains cautious. The update follows World Cup-driven sales boosts and a challenging cost environment.
The ONS has shown wage growth in the private sector has slipped below 3% for the first time since 2020, with three-month vacancies dropping to 712,000. Unemployment remains at 4.9%, payroll numbers fall slightly, and market signals suggest softening conditions ahead as pay growth in the public sector keeps overall earnings above inflation.
A coalition of 25 US states has filed suit in the US Court of International Trade to stop 10–12.5% tariffs that took effect in July on goods from about 60 trading partners. Plaintiffs say the administration has used forced‑labour claims to recreate broad levies courts have already struck down; the White House says the duties are lawful under Section 301.
Banks have reported stronger half-year profits amid sustained higher interest rates, with Barclays, Lloyds, and NatWest expected to post gains. Analysts foresee continued earnings growth as the sector navigates mortgage stress and potential increases in bad debt provisions. The sector remains buoyant but faces scrutiny over tax policy and regulatory expectations.
The European Commission has launched Scaleup Europe, a public-private growth fund managed by EQT to back EU-based scaleups. ICEYE, a Finnish satellite intelligence company valued above $11 billion, leads the first investment round, with a target of €5 billion to back EU and partner-country firms in deep tech and related sectors.
The latest U.S. inflation readings show persistence above the Fed’s 2% target while growth softens in Q2. Consumer spending remains resilient, but higher borrowing costs and energy prices complicate the outlook as policymakers weigh future moves.
July retail activity across the UK shows mixed momentum. Food and hospitality have benefited from warm weather and England’s World Cup run, while non-food and big-ticket categories lag. Card spending is higher than a year ago, and consumer demand remains fragile as inflation and costs weigh on shoppers.
Inflation has remained stubbornly high as energy prices stay elevated following the Iran conflict. Across the U.S. and UK alike, prices have moved little since last month, with energy and food costs continuing to weigh on households. Analysts say ongoing volatility will keep consumer costs under pressure in the near term.
The latest data show inflation cooling in July while wholesale prices slow and gas costs retreat, signaling a possible continuation of easing consumer prices. Yet analysts warn wage growth and volatile energy prices could rekindle pressure in coming months.
The United States has moved to secure ownership stakes or long-term access to Venezuela’s vast oil fields, aiming to expand American influence over the world’s largest proven crude reserves. Officials describe the plan as a legacy-defining move for President Trump, though it faces constitutional and political scrutiny in Venezuela. The push follows Maduro’s removal and a conditional restart of diplomatic ties.