A non-profit think tank on U.S. understanding of the Middle East
President Donald Trump has overridden the NATO agenda at a summit in Ankara by pressing allies to boost defence spending, threatening trade with Spain, and floating withdrawal of US troops from Europe. He has also signalled he will lift sanctions on Turkey and is considering selling F‑35 jets and engines to Ankara, prompting Israeli and European alarm.
NATO leaders reaffirm an Article 5 commitment while European defence spending rises. Trump criticises allies over Iran war and defence budgets, threatening trade measures and debates over Greenland. Ukraine receives new aid and weapons deals are announced, but unity appears fragile as divisions persist.
The latest developments show Iran vows revenge for the killing of its former leader’s son, while the Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint as regional powers seek to manage navigation and diplomacy amid ongoing Israeli and American actions.
The Strait of Hormuz remains a flashpoint as the United States reimposes a blockade on Iran and Iran asserts control over the waterway. Experts say escalating actions threaten global oil shipping, with discussions of large-scale military deployments and potential ground forces to secure the strait. Cross-border tensions are fueling price volatility and drawing international attention.
Germany and France have stepped up cooperation on nuclear deterrence, with Berlin participating in a French-led exercise and reaffirming NATO commitments. The move signals deeper European defence self-reliance amid questions about U.S. security guarantees, while stressing that NATO’s umbrella remains intact.
The Iran conflict has escalated with threats of strikes and shifting diplomacy as both sides test red lines. U.S. officials warn of hard actions while Iran asserts control over Hormuz. A ceasefire cycle and domestic political pressures frame new steps as global oil markets react.
Houthis have launched repeated drone, missile and naval strikes that have damaged Yemen’s Mocha port, killed dozens and forced the port’s suspension. The group has claimed a drone hit on Saudi Aramco’s Jazan refinery and renewed attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and Bab al‑Mandeb, while Yemeni government forces have mounted counter‑attacks across multiple fronts.
Iran and the United States remain locked in a volatile standoff over a June ceasefire framework. Iran says it will reciprocate if the US returns to commitments under the MoU, while regional diplomacy at the SCO summit in Kyrgyzstan seeks to de-escalate and reopen Hormuz. Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz continue, and allied diplomacy intensifies.
Israel maintains a presence in southern Lebanon and says it has cleared tunnels beneath the Ali al-Taher ridge. Hezbollah has not commented on the claim. The ridge overlooks a wide area and sits near Nabatieh; clashes persist despite a US-brokered ceasefire framework.
Leaders from Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia and Sudan have convened in New Alamein to coordinate on regional security, sovereignty and river governance. The gathering stresses dialogue, respect for international law, and a cooperative approach to Nile water resources and Red Sea security, amid escalating clashes in Ethiopia and Sudan.