Official data body reporting on China’s economy; current focus: PMI, inflation signals, and May activity amid export strength and domestic demand shifts.
China's official PMI has held at the expansion threshold near 50, with new orders and production softening slightly. Analysts cite robust energy security and ongoing export strength, though domestic demand remains sluggish amid a housing slump. Exports to Europe and Southeast Asia help offset U.S. demand weakness. Morgan Stanley sees 2026 growth near the 4.5–5% target.
China has posted a contraction in retail sales and a sharper drop in urban investment in May, signaling a deepening economic slowdown even as factory output improves.Officials flag a need for technology development and stronger employment support amid a K-shaped recovery.
Inflation has eased modestly in May, with headline CPI slowing in several countries. In South Africa, inflation rose modestly due to higher fuel prices, while food inflation continues to subside. Across nations Nigeria and Malawi also show mixed patterns in food and non-food prices, reflecting uneven price pressures.
China's official manufacturing PMI has edged into expansion at 50.3 in June from May's 50.0, with improvements in new orders and production. Export demand remains a key engine, while domestic consumption shows caution amid a prolonged property downturn. Analysts expect policy support to sustain momentum.