Resolution Foundation in the news as UK costs bite and living standards squeeze—thinkinfl (est. 2005) watchdog for low-to-middle income folks. They push data on poverty, benefits, and policy. Short, sharp.
The UK faces potential energy bill increases of up to 0 in the coming months due to global tensions in the Middle East, which have pushed gas and oil prices to three-year highs. The government and regulators are monitoring the situation closely, with possible impacts on household costs and inflation.
Recent forecasts from the UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) and the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) indicate slower economic growth and rising unemployment for 2026. The outlook is now more uncertain due to escalating Middle East conflicts and policy impacts, with inflation expected to fall but remain volatile.
Oil prices have risen as Middle East hostilities disrupt key supply routes, pushing Brent toward $79 a barrel. Markets anticipate further volatility depending on traffic through Hormuz and potential production adjustments by OPEC+. The developments intensify inflation risks and could influence central bank policy.
G7 ministers are meeting via videoconference to address the economic impact of the Middle East conflict, focusing on soaring energy prices, supply disruptions, and US war aims. The meeting aims to coordinate responses and clarify US objectives as tensions escalate and oil markets remain volatile.
Cost of living concerns grow as Middle East conflict disrupts global oil markets, raising prices for essentials. Inflation remains at 3%, but household confidence drops, with many dipping into savings. Benefit payments are adjusting for April, with universal credit recipients set for a boost.
Inflation has risen to 3.3% in March as fuel costs jump amid Middle East tensions. BoE is holding rates at 3.75% while weighing energy-price shocks and growth risks. NatWest reports first-quarter profit, while Santander completes TSB takeover; economists warn policy may tighten if energy shocks persist.