Defence and security think tank, founded 1831 in London
A Russian frigate fired warning shots near a British civilian yacht in the Channel, outside UK waters, after attempts to contact the vessel failed. The yacht was on a southbound course toward Cherbourg when the incident occurred. UK MoD describes it as an isolated event; Russia says the yacht was on a dangerous course. No injuries are reported.
The UK’s National Cyber Security Centre reports that over 200 incidents have affected critical national infrastructure in the past year, with around three-quarters linked to state actors. Officials warn AI could accelerate risks, urging urgent, nationwide action to bolster cyber resilience.
Gen. Christopher Donahue, commander of US Army Europe and Africa and NATO’s Allied Land Command, is relinquishing his post on July 2 as part of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s drive to trim senior ranks. His deputy, Maj. Gen. Christopher Norrie, will oversee duties in the interim. Donahue’s departure follows praise for his Afghanistan evacuation leadership and comes as the Army weighs downgrading Europe/Africa from four-star to three-star command.
North Korea has demonstrated combat systems on the Kang Kon destroyer, including a strategic cruise missile, main gun and electronic-warfare tests. Kim Jong Un has ordered completion of trials and active deployment within two months, as Pyongyang presses to expand a nuclear-armed navy after the Choe Hyon’s debut.
Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have intensified as US and Iranian strikes resume, targeting military and shipping assets across Iran, Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain. Iran claims attacks on US bases and allied facilities; CENTCOM reports strikes aimed at degrading Iran’s ability to threaten commercial shipping. Oil markets react to the disruption.
The US has finalised a 30‑year civilian nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia and has submitted it to Congress for review. The pact will allow US firms to help build Saudi nuclear power, could permit domestic uranium enrichment after a joint study, and has drawn warnings that it will increase proliferation risks and regional tensions.
The US faces intensified Iranian missile activity, with reports of diminishing Patriot and THAAD interceptors and Iran’s evolving missile program. Analysts say Chinese and Russian involvement is uncertain, while high-precision strikes raise questions about defence readiness amid ongoing regional tensions.
The US has completed a two-hour "heavy wave" of strikes across Iran, hitting Revolutionary Guard command centres, missile and drone facilities and coastal surveillance sites after Tehran fired ballistic missiles at US forces. Iran has launched retaliatory drone and missile strikes on US assets and allied facilities in the region; Jordan reported intercepting missiles with no casualties.
Iran has claimed casualties after a Ukrainian attack in the Caspian Sea. Tehran is summoning Kyiv’s envoy, calling the strike hostile and criminal. Officials dispute whether the vessel carried civilian cargo or drone components. The incident deepens cross-theater tensions as the US signals further support to Ukraine and analysts assess Iran’s potential responses.
The United States and Saudi Arabia have signed a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement and a bilateral safeguards pact, but President Donald Trump has said the deal is conditional on Riyadh normalising relations with Israel. Officials and commentators are disputing whether the White House and Energy Department coordinated the announcement. Critics warn the pact weakens non‑proliferation safeguards and could spur a regional arms race.
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and under its control, while other parties push back with assertions of American influence and international concern. The dispute follows a series of public statements and threats as talks to reopen the waterway stagnate.
The U.S. and NATO face shortages of Patriot missile interceptors in Europe as inventories shift to the Middle East. Officials warn these gaps could leave NATO vulnerable to ballistic missile attacks, with Ukraine bearing the brunt while allies race to rebound stockpiles by 2030. The issue follows recent moves by Kyiv to secure more air defense and discussions around SCALP missile support from France and the UK.
Iran and the United States remain locked in a volatile standoff over a June ceasefire framework. Iran says it will reciprocate if the US returns to commitments under the MoU, while regional diplomacy at the SCO summit in Kyrgyzstan seeks to de-escalate and reopen Hormuz. Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz continue, and allied diplomacy intensifies.