The currency of Japan, fluid in markets
Gold has fallen from its 2025 peak as higher real yields and a firmer dollar weigh on prices, with analysts noting divergent drivers behind safe-haven demand and new forecasts suggesting limited upside this year.
The US and Iran have exchanged fresh strikes this weekend and on Monday, reversing a recent interim ceasefire and re‑opening doubt over control of the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has declared the ceasefire "over," ordered further strikes and revoked a temporary oil waiver. Oil has jumped into the high $70s–$80s and global markets have fallen.
The United States has launched a wave of strikes on Iran after attacks on three ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliates by targeting US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait. Oil prices have risen amid renewed fighting, and talks toward a ceasefire appear fragile as both sides accuse the other of violations.
Japan has signalled readiness to act decisively if needed to widen investment in Japanese assets, as leaders push for stronger growth and greater household and pension fund participation. Officials caution that intervention cannot be dictated and must align with evolving conditions.
A coordinated U.S.-Japan intervention in late July has only temporarily strengthened the yen. The currency has given back roughly half the gains from the operation and is trading near ¥159–¥160 to the dollar as of mid-August. Analysts say the yield gap between U.S. and Japanese debt and Japan's domestic policy mix are keeping downward pressure on the yen.
Global automakers have updated forecasts as the yen sits around ¥150-¥160 per dollar. Toyota lifts its full-year operating profit outlook; Nissan reports a quarterly reversal to profit with improving US and Japan demand amid currency dynamics and regional disruptions.
Stocks waver as Walmart’s earnings miss dulls confidence; higher oil prices and rising yields weigh on sentiment. Treasuries signal caution as investors assess consumer resilience amid inflationary pressure.
The United States debt has reached $40 trillion as long-term yields hit their highest since 2007, signaling rising borrowing costs. Analysts warn that higher rates could push up mortgage, auto, and consumer borrowing costs, while policymakers debate how to slow deficits and stabilize financing.
Japan has posted another trade deficit, with imports climbing 27.8% year over year and exports rising 23.2% in July, as the weak yen and Iran-related oil costs shape the outlook. The government is supporting chip subsidies even as energy costs weigh on households.
U.S. markets edge lower after several sessions of gains as investors await the PCE inflation update. The latest data show persistent inflation and higher government borrowing costs, with bond yields climbing and stock indices uneven.