Currency and markets in motion
Gold has fallen from its 2025 peak as higher real yields and a firmer dollar weigh on prices, with analysts noting divergent drivers behind safe-haven demand and new forecasts suggesting limited upside this year.
The US and Iran have exchanged fresh strikes this weekend and on Monday, reversing a recent interim ceasefire and re‑opening doubt over control of the Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump has declared the ceasefire "over," ordered further strikes and revoked a temporary oil waiver. Oil has jumped into the high $70s–$80s and global markets have fallen.
The United States has launched a wave of strikes on Iran after attacks on three ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran retaliates by targeting US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait. Oil prices have risen amid renewed fighting, and talks toward a ceasefire appear fragile as both sides accuse the other of violations.
Japan has signalled readiness to act decisively if needed to widen investment in Japanese assets, as leaders push for stronger growth and greater household and pension fund participation. Officials caution that intervention cannot be dictated and must align with evolving conditions.
A coordinated U.S.-Japan intervention in late July has only temporarily strengthened the yen. The currency has given back roughly half the gains from the operation and is trading near ¥159–¥160 to the dollar as of mid-August. Analysts say the yield gap between U.S. and Japanese debt and Japan's domestic policy mix are keeping downward pressure on the yen.
Nissan has reported a quarterly profit of 3.8 billion yen after a loss in the prior year, with sales at 2.96 trillion yen. The company is aiming to restore profitability by March 2027, while facing disruption from the Middle East war and competitive pressure in China, alongside a Kumamoto earthquake impact.
Global markets have steadied as US retail sales disappointed expectations but inflation trends remain subdued. European shares edge higher on energy-price easing, while oil prices pull back slightly amid a holiday lull. The day closes with investors weighing the timing of the next Federal Reserve move.
The United States debt has reached $40 trillion as long-term yields hit their highest since 2007, signaling rising borrowing costs. Analysts warn that higher rates could push up mortgage, auto, and consumer borrowing costs, while policymakers debate how to slow deficits and stabilize financing.
Japan has posted another trade deficit, with imports climbing 27.8% year over year and exports rising 23.2% in July, as the weak yen and Iran-related oil costs shape the outlook. The government is supporting chip subsidies even as energy costs weigh on households.
The Treasury has expanded debt buybacks and is extending short-term borrowing to manage a growing U.S. debt burden. Analysts warn the strategy addresses near-term costs but leaves the longer-term inflation and funding challenges unresolved as corporate debt rises and global buyers pull back.
U.S. markets edge lower after several sessions of gains as investors await the PCE inflation update. The latest data show persistent inflation and higher government borrowing costs, with bond yields climbing and stock indices uneven.
Global government bond yields have risen to multi‑decade highs this week after renewed US–Iran fighting pushed oil toward $90–$97 a barrel and revived inflation fears. Governments from the UK to the US and Japan have paid higher borrowing costs; central banks are signalling tighter policy and markets are pricing more rate rises, lifting mortgage and corporate loan rates.
Oil prices have risen above $108 a barrel as Middle East tensions escalate, with markets watching U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve meeting. Global stock indices are mixed, and Treasuries remain volatile as energy costs weigh on households and corporate margins.
Global markets waver as AI-linked stocks retreat after OpenAI signals a potential year-end stock sale delay. SoftBank jumps on OpenAI ties; oil prices rise amid Middle East tensions. Wall Street edges lower as investors weigh safety over growth.
The Bank of Japan has raised rates to 1.25%, joining the US Federal Reserve and the ECB in tightening monetary policy as inflation pressures persist. Meanwhile, UK and other market signals show mixed responses, with the BoJ’s move sending Yen and global markets in flux.