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What does the expiration of the New START treaty mean?
The New START treaty, which limited the number of deployed nuclear warheads for the US and Russia, expired on February 5, 2026. Both countries have signaled they may proceed without formal restrictions, raising fears of an unchecked arms buildup and reduced verification measures, which could destabilize global security.
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Are the US and Russia heading toward a new nuclear arms race?
With the treaty's end, there is concern that the US and Russia might resume or accelerate a nuclear arms race. Both nations have indicated they are willing to act unilaterally, which could lead to increased stockpiling of nuclear weapons and a more unstable international environment.
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What are the risks of nuclear proliferation now?
Without the constraints of the New START treaty, the risk of nuclear proliferation rises. Other countries might feel encouraged to develop or expand their nuclear arsenals, increasing the chances of nuclear technology spreading and making global security more fragile.
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Can arms control agreements be renewed or replaced?
Yes, arms control agreements can be renewed or replaced, but it requires diplomatic negotiations and mutual trust. The current situation highlights the importance of re-establishing dialogue to prevent further escalation and to develop new treaties that can adapt to the changing geopolitical landscape.
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What is the international community doing about the treaty's end?
Many countries and international organizations are calling for renewed dialogue and negotiations to prevent a new arms race. Experts warn that without new agreements, global stability could be at risk, emphasizing the need for diplomatic efforts to manage nuclear risks.
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What could happen if the US and Russia don't reach a new deal?
If no new agreements are reached, the US and Russia might increase their nuclear arsenals unilaterally, leading to greater instability and the possibility of miscalculation or accidental conflict. The absence of verification measures could also make it harder to monitor nuclear activities worldwide.