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Could the ceasefire hold long-term?
The recent ceasefire in Sudan is fragile, with ongoing fighting and deep mistrust between the sides. While some groups have agreed to pause hostilities, many experts believe that without addressing core political issues, the ceasefire may not last long. International pressure and ongoing negotiations are crucial to maintaining peace.
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What are the chances of a lasting peace agreement?
The chances of a lasting peace in Sudan depend on several factors, including regional support, internal political will, and addressing the root causes of the conflict. Currently, deep mistrust and regional interests complicate peace efforts, making a durable agreement challenging but not impossible.
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How might the conflict evolve in the coming months?
The conflict could either escalate if fighting resumes or gradually de-escalate if diplomatic efforts succeed. The involvement of regional actors and international mediators will play a key role in shaping the conflict’s trajectory over the next few months.
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What steps are needed for reconciliation in Sudan?
Reconciliation requires inclusive dialogue, political compromises, and addressing grievances from all sides. International support for peace talks, justice for victims, and rebuilding trust among factions are essential steps toward long-term stability.
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Who are the main players involved in Sudan’s peace process?
Key players include Sudan’s military leaders, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), regional organizations like the African Union, and international actors such as the US, UAE, and IGAD. Their cooperation or opposition significantly influences the peace process.
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Can regional powers influence Sudan’s peace prospects?
Yes, regional powers like the UAE, Egypt, and Ethiopia have a strong influence on Sudan’s conflict dynamics. Their support or opposition can either facilitate peace negotiations or prolong the fighting, depending on their interests.