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Why did Iran end the nuclear deal now?
Iran announced the termination of all JCPOA provisions on October 18, 2025, citing the lack of cooperation from European signatories and ongoing tensions with the US and Israel. The deal's collapse follows years of increased nuclear activity after the US withdrew in 2018 and the reimposition of UN sanctions in September 2025. Iran's move reflects frustration with diplomatic efforts and a desire to assert its nuclear independence.
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What are the regional consequences of Iran's decision?
The end of the nuclear deal heightens regional tensions, especially with Israel and Gulf countries concerned about Iran's nuclear ambitions. It could lead to an arms race or increased military activity in the Middle East. The collapse also risks destabilizing efforts for peace and complicates ongoing conflicts, making diplomacy more challenging in the region.
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Can negotiations to revive the deal still happen?
Currently, diplomatic efforts to revive the JCPOA are deadlocked amid escalating tensions. Both Iran and Western countries have taken hardline stances, making negotiations difficult. While some international actors still hope for a diplomatic solution, the current climate suggests that talks are unlikely to resume soon without significant changes.
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How does this affect US and European relations with Iran?
The collapse of the deal strains US and European relations with Iran, as diplomatic channels are now more fractured. The US has maintained a hardline stance, while European countries are concerned about regional stability. This development could lead to increased sanctions, reduced diplomatic engagement, and a more confrontational approach from all sides.
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What does this mean for global nuclear non-proliferation efforts?
Iran ending the deal raises concerns about nuclear proliferation, as Iran may resume or accelerate nuclear activities. It also undermines international efforts to control nuclear programs through diplomacy. The situation emphasizes the importance of renewed dialogue and stronger international safeguards to prevent nuclear escalation.
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Is there a risk of military conflict now?
With diplomatic efforts stalled and tensions rising, the risk of military conflict in the Middle East increases. Israel and other regional actors may feel compelled to take preemptive actions, and the possibility of miscalculation or escalation grows. The international community remains cautious, urging restraint to avoid further conflict.