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How is international pressure shaping the ceasefire?
International pressure has played a key role in encouraging the Sudanese factions to consider a ceasefire. Efforts from the Quad, the African Union, and IGAD aim to persuade both sides to pause fighting and focus on peace talks. While some groups, like the RSF, have announced cooperation, others remain skeptical, making the impact of international pressure complex and uncertain.
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What are the interests of global powers in Sudan?
Global powers like the UAE, the US, and regional organizations have strategic interests in Sudan. These include regional stability, access to resources, and influence over the country's future. Some actors are accused of supporting certain factions, which complicates peace efforts and fuels mistrust among Sudanese leaders.
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Can diplomacy succeed where violence has failed?
Diplomacy offers a pathway to peace that violence has not achieved so far. International mediators are working to bring the conflicting parties to the negotiating table, emphasizing civilian protection and accountability. However, deep mistrust and regional rivalries make diplomatic success challenging, and a lasting peace remains uncertain.
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What are the risks of foreign intervention in Sudan?
Foreign intervention can escalate the conflict or complicate peace efforts. While international actors aim to support peace, their involvement might be perceived as biased or driven by strategic interests, risking further destabilization. The fragile trust between Sudanese factions makes cautious, well-coordinated intervention essential.
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Is a ceasefire likely to hold in Sudan?
Given the deep-rooted mistrust and ongoing regional tensions, maintaining a ceasefire in Sudan is difficult. While recent announcements show some willingness to pause fighting, the history of broken agreements suggests that sustained peace will require addressing core political issues and regional influences.