What's happened
The National Hurricane Center has issued advisories as Hernan tracks west of Mexico and a potential Tropical Cyclone One-C is approaching Hawaii. One-C is expected to bring heavy rain, strong winds and dangerous surf to the Hawaiian Islands late Friday, with possible landfall as a tropical storm on Saturday.
What's behind the headline?
Analysis
- The situation is evolving as weather models indicate One-C could intensify before reaching Hawaii, potentially increasing rainfall and surf hazards.
- The proximity of Hernan to Mexico and the separate track of One-C present two simultaneous threats in the Pacific, requiring updated forecasts and local advisories.
- Forecast confidence remains moderate; residents should monitor official updates and prepare for possible tropical-storm conditions.
- The developing system underscores the importance of readiness in island communities facing rapid weather shifts.
Writing note
- Predictions are contingent on forecast models and could change with new data.
How we got here
Hernan is located west of the Baja California peninsula and is not a tropical storm at this time. One-C is situated about 775 miles east-southeast of Hawaii and is forecast to strengthen before approaching the Hawaiian Islands.
Our analysis
AP News provides the most recent advisories on Hernan and One-C, with updates from the National Hurricane Center; Independent corroborates timing and rainfall projections.
Go deeper
- How is One-C expected to evolve over the next 24 hours?
- What precautions should residents of Hawaii take if tropical-storm conditions materialize?
- Will Hernan affect travel or coastal conditions along Mexico’s Pacific coast?
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