The U.S. NOAA/NWS division tracking tropical weather systems
Atlantic hurricane activity has remained unusually low this season, with no hurricanes forming yet. Forecasters say El Niño, Sahara dust, and high wind shear are suppressing development, while Pacific activity remains high. The season has seen record-breaking delays in hurricane formation, with experts cautioning that a single system could still cause damage.
Arthur has formed as the first named storm of the Atlantic season and tracks toward the Texas-Louisiana coast. Forecasters warn of life-threatening flash flooding across Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and Florida, with rainfall totals from 5 to 10 inches and isolated totals near 20 inches through Friday. Residents are deploying sandbags, preparing shelters, and monitoring potential reformation off the East Coast.
Super Typhoon Bavi has direct-hit Rota with winds over 150 mph, triggering warnings for Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands. Officials warn of catastrophic damage and prolonged outages as the storm tracks westward toward the Philippines and Taiwan amid El Niño-linked warming.
El Niño has strengthened and is forecast to reach the strongest category by fall, bringing droughts, heavy rains, heat waves, and shifts in hurricane activity. Forecasts indicate the event will influence global weather patterns this fall and winter, with warnings of significant regional impacts.
The National Hurricane Center has warned that wind and rainfall impacts are growing, but exact location and severity remain uncertain. Fausto is roughly 1,300 miles west of Baja California and 1,600 miles east of Hawaii, with winds near 100 mph. Swells are triggering dangerous surf and rip tides in southern California, while Bertha has dissipated after a Gulf Coast impact.
Hurricane Genevieve remains a Category 4 storm offshore in the East Pacific, with winds around 140-160 mph. It is weakening as it moves northwest, while swells are causing life-threatening surf along southern Baja California and the Mexican coast. Fausto has weakened toward a tropical storm and Hawaii monitors for impacts.
Tropical Storm Lala may grow into a hurricane as it grazes Hawaii, with a hurricane warning issued for the Big Island. Forecasters warn of dangerous flooding and mudslides, potentially the first hurricane strike on Hawaii since 1992.
Tropical Storm Lala has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane and has lashed Hawaii’s Big Island with heavy rain and strong winds, causing at least one death, widespread power outages and property damage. A second system, Moke, has formed south of the islands with tropical-storm‑strength winds and will bring additional heavy rain.
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Hurricane Lala has been upgraded to Category 1 with 75 mph winds. The eyewall could pass near the Big Island’s southern tip this evening, threatening heavy rain and mudslides at high elevations. Officials warn of life-threatening floods, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching Oahu and Kauai by Sunday. Shelters have opened and advisories issued across Maui, Oahu, Kauai and neighboring islands.
The storm Karina has intensified in the Pacific, with NHC reporting high winds. Swells are creating dangerous surf along parts of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula. Forecasts indicate fluctuations in strength as it moves away from land.
Authorities warn residents in Kauai and Niihue of torrential rain, flash floods and mudslides as Tropical Storm Lowell moves north-northwest, with Hawaii's Big Island forecast to receive heavy rain. Separately, Hurricane Marie off Baja California is generating dangerous swells along the West Coast.