NOAA/NWS division tracking tropical systems in the Pacific and Atlantic
El Niño has strengthened and is forecast to reach the strongest category by fall, bringing droughts, heavy rains, heat waves, and shifts in hurricane activity. Forecasts indicate the event will influence global weather patterns this fall and winter, with warnings of significant regional impacts.
The National Hurricane Center has warned that wind and rainfall impacts are growing, but exact location and severity remain uncertain. Fausto is roughly 1,300 miles west of Baja California and 1,600 miles east of Hawaii, with winds near 100 mph. Swells are triggering dangerous surf and rip tides in southern California, while Bertha has dissipated after a Gulf Coast impact.
Hurricane Genevieve remains a Category 4 storm offshore in the East Pacific, with winds around 140-160 mph. It is weakening as it moves northwest, while swells are causing life-threatening surf along southern Baja California and the Mexican coast. Fausto has weakened toward a tropical storm and Hawaii monitors for impacts.
Tropical Storm Lala is strengthening and could grow into a hurricane as it approaches Hawaii, with advisories warning of dangerous flooding and potential impacts on the Big Island. Forecasters say heavy rainfall and high winds may arrive this weekend.
Tropical Storm Lala has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane and has lashed Hawaii’s Big Island with heavy rain and strong winds, causing at least one death, widespread power outages and property damage. A second system, Moke, has formed south of the islands with tropical-storm‑strength winds and will bring additional heavy rain.
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Hurricane Lala has been upgraded to Category 1 with 75 mph winds. The eyewall could pass near the Big Island’s southern tip this evening, threatening heavy rain and mudslides at high elevations. Officials warn of life-threatening floods, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching Oahu and Kauai by Sunday. Shelters have opened and advisories issued across Maui, Oahu, Kauai and neighboring islands.
The storm Karina has intensified in the Pacific, with NHC reporting high winds. Swells are creating dangerous surf along parts of Mexico and the Baja California Peninsula. Forecasts indicate fluctuations in strength as it moves away from land.
Authorities warn residents in Kauai and Niihue of torrential rain, flash floods and mudslides as Tropical Storm Lowell moves north-northwest, with Hawaii's Big Island forecast to receive heavy rain. Separately, Hurricane Marie off Baja California is generating dangerous swells along the West Coast.
Atlantic hurricane activity has remained unusually low this season, with no hurricanes forming yet. Forecasters say El Niño, Sahara dust, and high wind shear are suppressing development, while Pacific activity remains high. The season has seen record-breaking delays in hurricane formation, with experts cautioning that a single system could still cause damage.
Polo has strengthened into a major Pacific hurricane with winds reaching Category 5 at times, threatening Mexico’s Pacific coast and prompting evacuations, shelter preparations, and heavy rain forecasts. Officials warn of life‑threatening flooding and mudslides as the storm tracks toward Baja California and may affect parts of the U.S. Southwest.
Forecasts indicate Polo remains at Cat 5 while Nolo approaches Hawaii, triggering watches and flood concerns. Heavy rains threaten Mexico’s Pacific coast and Hawaii’s Big Island, with authorities urging preparations as weather patterns intensify under El Niño conditions.
Nolo has strengthened toward a dangerous hurricane off Hawaii, while Polo threatens Mexico’s Baja California as forecasters warn of heavy rain, flooding and power outages. Authorities have activated emergency responses and urged precautions as the storms loom.
Polo has strengthened into a Category 3 hurricane with winds around 125 mph. It is moving toward the Baja California peninsula and mainland Mexico, bringing heavy rain, flooding and storm surge risks. Authorities say embankments in San Carlos and San Juanico face breach threats, prompting evacuations and shelter preparations. The storm could also trigger heavy rain and flooding in the U.S. Southwest as it tracks north.
Isaias has strengthened into a major hurricane and is approaching the U.S. Gulf Coast with dangerous winds, storm surges, and heavy rain. Officials urge urgent preparations and evacuations where ordered as forecasts show landfall this evening along the Alabama-Florida line, with weakening expected inland.