What's happened
Pew Research Center has found that more people now view China more favourably than the United States in 25 of 36 countries surveyed. The poll of 42,151 people, conducted Feb.–May 2026, shows confidence in Chinese leader Xi Jinping has risen while confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump has fallen; the U.S. retains a lead on respecting personal freedoms.
What's behind the headline?
What the poll actually shows
- Pew has recorded a reversal: in 25 of 36 countries surveyed more people gave China a favourable rating than the U.S. This is the first time China has led in Pew's long-running global-tracking project.
- The survey found higher confidence in Xi Jinping than in Donald Trump in 22 countries; many respondents report low confidence in both leaders.
Why this happened
- The poll was conducted during Feb.–May 2026, when the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran. That period has led many respondents to view the U.S. as less stabilising.
- China’s favourability has improved as memories of the pandemic have faded and Beijing has amplified overseas influence efforts, including cultural and social-media outreach.
Who benefits
- China will gain diplomatic leverage from improved perceptions in middle-income countries and parts of Latin America and Africa. That will make Beijing's economic and political initiatives easier to advance.
- The Trump administration will face sustained damage to U.S. soft power among allies; falling trust will make coalition-building harder.
Near-term consequences
- Allies that have shifted opinions — such as Canada, several major European states and Mexico — will press Washington for clearer, steadier policy. This will force U.S. diplomats to prioritise relationship repair.
- Beijing will use the poll to legitimise its international posture and to justify expanded outreach. That will increase competition over influence in developing markets.
Forecast
- Public opinion will continue to swing with policy shocks. Unless Washington changes course and delivers consistent, coalition-oriented diplomacy, China will consolidate favourable perceptions in the coming year.
How we got here
Pew has tracked global views for about 20 years. The 2026 survey captured opinions during Feb.–May, a period that included military action involving the U.S. and Israel and high-profile Trump foreign-policy moves that critics say have strained alliances.
Our analysis
The coverage shares a common core: they all cite the Pew Research Center finding that more respondents in 25 of 36 countries now view China more favourably than the U.S. Axios summarised the poll with a clear datapoint: "The survey of 42,151 people found that more have confidence in Chinese leader Xi Jinping than in Trump," and flagged the Feb.–May fieldwork window that included strikes on Iran. The Guardian emphasised the diplomatic and cultural trends, arguing that the shift is driven by tensions between the Trump administration and allies and noting improvements for China in Latin America, Africa and parts of south and southeast Asia. It quoted Pew researcher Laura Silver explaining that the war period reduced confidence in U.S. leadership. The Independent reported country-level shifts, citing Canada’s fall from 57% favourable to 33% for the U.S. and Canada’s rise for China from 14% to 44%; it quoted Joshua Kurlantzick saying "China has aggressively stepped in to take advantage of that." The Japan Times took a more critical tone toward U.S. policy, saying the results are "consistent with the administration's unabashed 'America First' orientation." AP, France 24 and Bloomberg reiterated the core findings and the historical note that this is the first time in about 20 years of Pew tracking that China has surpassed the U.S. each included the statistic that only six countries still rate the U.S. more favourably (India, Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, Poland and Israel). Put together, the sources converge on the same Pew data while varying in emphasis: Axios and AP focus on survey mechanics and numbers; the Guardian and Independent provide broader political interpretation and examples; Japan Times offers a pointed editorial framing. All sources attribute the findings to Pew and to Laura Silver or unnamed Pew researchers when quoting interpretation.
Go deeper
- How did favourability change in my country compared with 2023?
- Which policies by the U.S. have driven the biggest declines in allied opinion?
- How will China use improved favourability to expand influence in Latin America and Africa?
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