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Broadway Tony race widens amid revivals and new shows

What's happened

Nominations for the Tony Awards are shaping a revival-heavy season, with “The Lost Boys” and “Schmigadoon!” leading musical nods while several high-profile flops miss in key categories; the guidance from AP, NYT, and The Guardian frames a season where revivals dominate and star power fuels campaigns ahead of the June ceremony.

What's behind the headline?

Analysis

  • The nominations landscape is pivoting away from a heavy emphasis on new properties toward revivals that carry brand equity and crowdfunding star power.
  • The visibility of revivals like the Roal Dahl/ Roald Dahl era titles, and the balance of nominations between musicals and plays, suggests producers are betting on name recognition and proven material to drive attendance.
  • With Pink hosting and a strong media build, the ceremony is likely to leverage cross-media appeal to retain viewership while prioritizing high-profile performances.
  • Expect a继续 surge in campaigns around The Lost Boys and Schmigadoon! as frontrunners, with Titans like Beaches, The Queen of Versailles, and BeBecoming overshadowed by the revival-heavy slate.

Forecast: the June 7 ceremony will likely emphasize revivals that pair contemporary casting with classic titles; campaigns will intensify around two or three leading shows, while several expected contenders may miss, reshaping the power balance for upcoming seasons.

How we got here

The current Tony season has featured a thinner slate of new musicals, a shift toward revivals, and rising production costs that have drawn some shows to London. The field includes six new musicals among 30 eligible productions, with nominations to be announced by Uzo Aduba and Darren Criss on CBS and YouTube ahead of the June 7 ceremony.

Our analysis

AP News, New York Times, The Guardian, NY Post, The Independent

Go deeper

  • Which revival or new show do you think will win best musical this year?
  • How might ticket prices and live attendance trends influence voting and campaigns?
  • What role will star power play in the final nominations and wins?

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