What's happened
Iraq's sixth post-invasion election opened today, with over 21 million eligible voters, including security personnel and displaced people. The vote tests Prime Minister Sudani's bid for a second term amid fears of low turnout, political discontent, and regional tensions involving Iran and the US.
What's behind the headline?
The Iraqi election reflects ongoing political fragmentation and voter apathy, with fears that low turnout will undermine legitimacy. The revival of an electoral law favoring larger parties suggests a consolidation of power among established political elites. Influential figures like Prime Minister Sudani and former Prime Minister Maliki are expected to secure significant blocs, but the election's outcome remains uncertain due to boycotts and regional tensions.
Regional dynamics, especially Iran's influence and US-Iraq relations, will heavily influence the post-election government. The presence of Iran-backed militias and debates over their role in the military complicate governance and security policies.
The election's significance extends beyond domestic politics, impacting regional stability. A low turnout could weaken the perceived legitimacy of the new government, potentially fueling unrest. The political landscape remains volatile, with the potential for renewed conflict or reform depending on the election results and subsequent coalition negotiations.
What the papers say
The New Arab reports that voting has begun with concerns over voter apathy and the influence of established parties, highlighting the revived electoral law favoring larger groups. The Independent emphasizes the broader regional context, including fears of conflict between Israel and Iran, and notes the low voter turnout and political disillusionment. Al Jazeera provides detailed coverage of the voting process, including the participation of displaced Yazidis and security forces, and underscores the ongoing political disputes and violence that have historically marred Iraqi elections. All sources agree that the election is a pivotal moment for Iraq's future stability, but differ in their focus—The New Arab on electoral mechanics, The Independent on regional tensions, and Al Jazeera on voter participation and security.
How we got here
Since the 2003 US-led invasion, Iraq has held multiple elections, often marked by sectarian divides, violence, and political disputes. The current electoral law, revived in 2023, favors larger parties, reducing independent candidates' chances. Tensions persist over Iran-backed militias and regional influence, shaping the electoral landscape.
Go deeper
Common question
-
Why Are Iraq's Elections So Important Right Now?
Iraq's upcoming elections are a pivotal moment for the country's future stability and regional influence. With over 21 million voters participating, including security personnel and displaced communities, the election tests Prime Minister Sudani's bid for a second term amid regional tensions involving Iran and the US. Understanding why these elections matter, who is involved, and what could happen next is crucial for anyone interested in Middle Eastern politics and regional security. Below, we answer some of the most common questions about this significant event.
-
How Do Regional Tensions Affect Iraq's Elections?
Iraq's recent elections are happening amid a complex web of regional tensions involving Iran, the US, and neighboring countries. These tensions influence voter turnout, candidate selection, and the overall stability of the election process. Curious about how these regional dynamics shape Iraq's political future? Below, we explore key questions about the election's regional context and its potential consequences.
More on these topics
-
Iraq, officially the Republic of Iraq, is a country in Western Asia, bordered by Turkey to the north, Iran to the east, Kuwait to the southeast, Saudi Arabia to the south, Jordan to the southwest and Syria to the west.
-
Sayyid Ammar al-Hakim is an Iraqi cleric and politician who led the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, from 2009 to 2017.
-
Nouri Kamil Muhammad-Hasan al-Maliki, also known as Jawad al-Maliki or Abu Esraa, is secretary-general of the Islamic Dawa Party and was the prime minister of Iraq from 2006 to 2014 and the vice president of Iraq from 2014 to 2015 and 2016 to 2018.