What's happened
Haaretz has published book excerpts saying UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed warned Benjamin Netanyahu in late September 2023 that Hamas was planning a major operation. Haaretz says Netanyahu reacted calmly and did not inform Israel's security chiefs; Netanyahu has denied the call, instructed lawyers to sue Haaretz, and rivals have seized the story ahead of the Oct. 27 election.
What's behind the headline?
What the new claim means
- Haaretz has presented a new sourcing trail — interviews, documents and a Palestinian adviser to the UAE — that, it says, shows Mohammed bin Zayed told Netanyahu in late September 2023 that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was preparing a "huge surprise." Haaretz reports Netanyahu responded calmly and did not update security chiefs.
Who benefits and who loses
- Netanyahu is losing political ground because the allegation directly challenges his argument that security chiefs, not he, bore primary responsibility for the October 7 failures. The story will increase pressure on his campaign and will force his team to litigate rather than to reframe the narrative.
Why this is breaking now
- The book excerpts have been published weeks before Israel's Oct. 27 election. The timing will intensify scrutiny of Netanyahu's wartime leadership and will push opponents to demand accountability and possibly a public inquiry.
Likely next steps
- Netanyahu will continue to deny the account and pursue legal action; Haaretz will defend its reporting. Rival politicians will use the report to press for investigations and to portray Netanyahu as politically vulnerable. This will increase the political salience of intelligence oversight in the remaining campaign weeks.
Broader consequence
- The allegation will push debates about pre-7 October warnings back into the centre of Israeli politics, and will shape voter calculations about competence and accountability ahead of the election.
How we got here
The report draws on a book by Haaretz journalists Shlomi Eldar and Ruth Yuval and cites dozens of sources. It follows earlier reporting that Egypt and others warned Israel before the October 7, 2023 attack that killed about 1,200 people and took 251 hostages, and it is unfolding during a heated campaign for Israel's October 27 general election.
Our analysis
Haaretz (reporting by Shlomi Eldar and Ruth Yuval) has published excerpts from a book it says is based on dozens of interviews, documents and a Palestinian adviser to the UAE. Haaretz claims Mohammed bin Zayed made a 45-minute call warning Netanyahu that Yahya Sinwar was preparing a major operation and that Netanyahu did not alert Israel's security chiefs. The Times of Israel has quoted survivors and bereaved relatives who have publicly accused Netanyahu of long-term policy failures and cited the Haaretz reporting; it has also published corroborating accounts from Emirati sources and criticised Netanyahu's denial. The BBC Business account summarised Haaretz's extracts and Haaretz's standing defence, noting Haaretz has rejected Netanyahu's defamation threat. AP News, France 24, The New Arab, Arab News and other outlets have reported the same core claim and the denials; they emphasise that the UAE and Netanyahu have issued careful non-denials or outright denials. Al Jazeera and other commentators frame the story as part of a pattern in which Netanyahu is using legal and political tactics to push back against damaging reporting. Direct quotes: Haaretz says bin Zayed warned the call "would not only lead to bloodshed but also destabilise the entire region." Netanyahu has called the story a "complete lie" and said his call logs show no trace of such a conversation, and his office has said any attempt to suggest otherwise is a "sinister libel." The UAE Foreign Ministry has said it "does not comment on media stories or speculation regarding conversations between government leaders." These differences — Haaretz's sourced detail versus Netanyahu's categorical denial and the UAE's careful non-response — will keep the dispute alive through the election period.
Go deeper
- Will Netanyahu file the defamation suit before the election and will the court act quickly?
- Will any Israeli or foreign intelligence agency publicly confirm or deny the reported phone call?
- Will opposition figures demand a formal inquiry into pre-October 7 warnings and ministerial decisions?
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