What's happened
Recent surveys from ECFR and Oxford reveal declining US influence and rising perceptions of China as a global power. The polls show Europeans and others view China as a necessary partner, while trust in the US as an ally diminishes, driven by Trump's policies and shifting geopolitical dynamics. The world is moving toward a multipolar order.
What's behind the headline?
The polls underscore a fundamental transformation in global power perceptions. The decline in US influence, especially in Europe, is driven by Trump's policies that have alienated traditional allies and fostered skepticism about American reliability. Meanwhile, China's ascendancy is viewed positively in many regions, with majorities seeing it as a necessary partner or even an ally. This shift signals a move toward a multipolar world where the US no longer dominates unchallenged.
The data also reveal a strategic recalibration among nations, with many expecting their relationships with China to deepen, particularly in industries like electric vehicles and renewable energy. The diminished perception of the US as a shared-value partner, especially in Europe, indicates a potential long-term realignment of alliances and influence.
Furthermore, the surveys suggest that the US's current trajectory, marked by territorial ambitions and confrontational rhetoric, will likely accelerate this shift. European leaders are urged to recognize the new geopolitical reality and adapt accordingly, or risk marginalization. The rise of China as a global power will reshape diplomatic, economic, and military strategies worldwide, with implications for stability and international cooperation.
In sum, the US's current approach may entrench its decline, while China's rise will likely define the next decade's geopolitical landscape. The world is entering a period of increased complexity, where traditional alliances are dissolving and new power centers are emerging with significant influence on global stability.
What the papers say
The Independent highlights that the recent survey shows a decline in trust towards the US, with many perceiving it as less influential globally, especially after Trump's policies. Politico emphasizes the sharp decline in support for the US as an ally across Europe and other regions, noting that only India maintains a majority view of the US as a shared-value partner. Jon Henley in The Guardian points out that Europeans now see the US as less reliable and are increasingly supportive of rearmament, while Russians view Europe more as an adversary than the US. All sources agree that China's influence is rising, with many countries viewing it as a necessary partner or ally, and expecting its leadership in industries like electric vehicles. The surveys collectively suggest a significant geopolitical shift, with the US losing ground and China gaining prominence, driven by recent US policies and global perceptions.
How we got here
The surveys, conducted in November 2025, reflect growing global perceptions of China's rising influence and declining trust in the US, especially under Trump's 'America First' policies. These shifts are influenced by recent US actions, including strained relations with allies and aggressive territorial rhetoric, notably concerning Greenland and Europe. The polls highlight a changing geopolitical landscape, with many countries increasingly viewing China as a necessary partner and US influence waning.
Go deeper
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