The Royal Institute of International Affairs — a London-based think tank
Kpler and other trackers have reported that crude exports from the Gulf have recovered to near prewar volumes in late September, driven by US military escorts, ship-to-ship transfers and revived pipelines such as Saudi Arabia's East-West route. Refined product shipments remain constrained and analysts warn the recovery is fragile while Iran's own exports have largely stopped.
NATO and allied nations are accelerating development and deployment of cheaper, scalable defenses in response to drone threats and rapid battlefield innovation. Ukraine’s front-line feedback is driving faster iteration, with manufacturers delivering updates within days or weeks as the war reshapes planning for 2030-era air defense.
Nigeria is becoming central to a new model of counterterrorism. AFRICOM says security outcomes depend on intelligence sharing and coordinated action, with Nigeria at the heart of operations against ISIS and other groups. US forces have withdrawn most personnel, but partnerships continue through intelligence and joint actions.
The Strait of Hormuz could see a formal system to charge ships for passage as countries near the waterway explore governance changes after a war that disrupted oil flows. Oman is signaling flexibility on fees while stressing any scheme will align with international law, and Washington remains opposed to tolls.
Oman is navigating a delicate path between Iran and the United States as talks over tolls on the Strait of Hormuz continue. Analysts say any fee regime would operate within legal limits, but the idea risks provoking regional pushback while maintaining critical shipping routes for a market dependent on energy flows.
Independent reports that Ukraine’s drone campaign has disrupted Russia’s fuel infrastructure, intensifying shortages and triggering public discontent. Putin insists on continuing the conflict and expanding energy defenses as Moscow confronts a mounting fuel crisis.
President Donald Trump has overridden the NATO agenda at a summit in Ankara by pressing allies to boost defence spending, threatening trade with Spain, and floating withdrawal of US troops from Europe. He has also signalled he will lift sanctions on Turkey and is considering selling F‑35 jets and engines to Ankara, prompting Israeli and European alarm.
Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper warns that AI poses a Hiroshima‑style risk unless international rules are agreed. She outlines concerns over climate change, migration and foreign interference, and argues for a stronger UK‑EU relationship in security and trade.
NATO leaders reaffirm an Article 5 commitment while European defence spending rises. Trump criticises allies over Iran war and defence budgets, threatening trade measures and debates over Greenland. Ukraine receives new aid and weapons deals are announced, but unity appears fragile as divisions persist.
Prince Harry has visited the UK this month for charity and Invictus events and has met King Charles and Queen Camilla at Highgrove. The meeting has allowed Harry’s children, Archie and Lilibet, to see their grandfather for the first time since 2022. The trip has followed his loss in a High Court privacy case and a dispute over state-funded security for his family.
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has announced there will be no more elections and his congress has begun drafting constitutional changes to extend the presidential term and block opposition candidates. The proposal would make terms seven years and bar those labeled "traitors" or "coup plotters" from office; the UN and the US have condemned the moves.
Sen. Lindsey Graham has died suddenly, leaving a void in U.S.-Ukraine policy after years of backing sanctions and military aid. He had visited Ukraine multiple times and was pushing a Russia sanctions bill with bipartisan support. Zelenskyy and Ukrainian officials mourn his loss, warning that his absence could affect negotiations with Washington.
Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to multi-week lows as renewed U.S.–Iran strikes escalate the crisis. Oil shipments and prices are affected, with both sides targeting shipping routes and infrastructure. Analysts warn announcements of ceasefires have not stabilized the Strait. The situation is evolving this week.
The Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday have won a high court ruling in their legal battle over alleged unlawful information gathering. Seven claimants, including Prince Harry and Doreen Lawrence, have lost their cases, with bills potentially reaching around £50 million. The decision highlights ongoing tensions between the press and public figures.
The Iraqi prime minister-designate has arrived in Washington as Washington pressures Baghdad to disarm Iran-backed militias and curb corruption. The visit centers on expanding economic ties, attracting investment, and reinforcing state control, amid Tehran’s influence and security challenges.
The United States has stated it will charge a 20% toll on all cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz to fund security. Analysts say the plan faces legal, diplomatic, and practical hurdles and could reduce traffic through the waterway. Shipping groups condemn tolls on international waters. The proposal remains unproven and contentious.
Germany and France have stepped up cooperation on nuclear deterrence, with Berlin participating in a French-led exercise and reaffirming NATO commitments. The move signals deeper European defence self-reliance amid questions about U.S. security guarantees, while stressing that NATO’s umbrella remains intact.
Ismael Zambada Garcia has received a life sentence in Brooklyn federal court for leading the Sinaloa Cartel and for racketeering and continuing criminal enterprise. Prosecutors say the cartel flooded the United States with cocaine, fentanyl and other drugs for decades, while his defense notes his age and health needs.
The Strait of Hormuz remains a focal point as renewed US and Iranian strikes have disrupted shipping, pushed oil prices higher, and drawn in regional powers. Oil flows through Hormuz have slowed, tanker traffic is volatile, and regional leaders warn of broader conflict.
Since July 18 Ukraine has struck multiple Wildberries warehouses across Russia, causing fires, deaths and major stock losses. The campaign has put at least 1.5 million sq m of warehouse space out of operation, forced evacuations and pushed merchants toward bankruptcy. Wildberries and Russia are discussing compensation and possible state support.
Airstrikes by US and Saudi forces hit PMF sites in Iraq after attacks on Saudi facilities, while Iran-backed groups and regional rivalries threaten Iraq’s new prime minister’s plan to disarm militias and anchor the state. The broader Strait of Hormuz dynamics and Yemen’s Houthis add layers to the conflict, risking wider regional instability.
The US has completed a two-hour "heavy wave" of strikes across Iran, hitting Revolutionary Guard command centres, missile and drone facilities and coastal surveillance sites after Tehran fired ballistic missiles at US forces. Iran has launched retaliatory drone and missile strikes on US assets and allied facilities in the region; Jordan reported intercepting missiles with no casualties.
Kurdistan authorities have reported Iranian-launched drones struck the private office of KRG Prime Minister Masrour Barzani and the residence of the region's security agency chief on 17 August, with no casualties. The attacks come as Baghdad presses for a September 30 deadline to bring armed factions under state control and as cross-border strikes and US-Saudi operations have raised tensions across Iraq.
Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkiye have signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, offering mutual-attack deterrence and deeper military cooperation. Officials say negotiations anticipate expansion to more partners, with Egypt flagged as a natural partner; the pact mirrors NATO-style defence but remains non-binding if a signatory is not attacked.
A magnitude 7.4 earthquake has struck western Colombia, with Cali, Pereira and surrounding regions bearing the brunt. Rescuers are digging through rubble as the death toll climbs and thousands of buildings are damaged. The new president has declared a state of emergency and mobilised security forces to lead the response.
President Trump has announced what he called the "most crushing economic operation ever" against Iran and warned any country that provides a lifeline to Tehran will face "tremendous economic consequences." Treasury officials have signalled stepped‑up secondary sanctions while Tehran has rejected the move; oil prices and US equities have reacted this week.
The United States has announced a new wave of sanctions aimed at Iran’s economy, describing them as the most severe financial measures yet. Tehran warns of retaliatory moves, and markets react as the rial hits record lows amid heightened tensions. Officials from both sides signal a broad confrontation that could redraw energy routes and international trade.
The United States has warned of an unprecedented financial offensive against Iran, with Treasury officials and the president signaling tighter enforcement of sanctions. Tehran has warned of an "earthquake-like" retaliation and warned Gulf states against joining. Oil markets are watching, as prices fluctuate amid the standoff.
Leaders from 34 countries are meeting in Kyiv on Ukraine’s Independence Day to pledge additional air defences and military aid. UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham is co-chairing the Coalition of the Willing, with France and Germany, and will authorize the release of classified blueprints for the SCALP missile to support Ukrainian production. EU funds are also being stepped up to bolster Ukraine’s shield as Russia escalates strikes.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has announced new economic measures designed to squeeze Iran’s economy and isolate Tehran further. Iran’s leadership warns against entrenchment, while markets react to currency pressures and potential retaliation. The move follows Trump’s public calls for economic D‑Day and a broader strategy of secondary sanctions.
The Altalena, the Irgun’s wartime cargo ship sunk in 1948 after a clash with Ben-Gurion’s government, has been located off Tel Aviv. Netanyahu and Ben-Gvir are using the find to sharpen right‑wing messages ahead of the October 27 vote, while historians caution the episode remains a symbol of internal nationalist tension.
Iran’s economy is under growing pressure as the US tightens sanctions and a blockades affect Hormuz, with official figures and independent analyses showing currency depreciation, soaring inflation, and hardship for ordinary Iranians. Tehran signals resilience and seeks a path to peace, while allies weigh how to respond.
Israel has secured a nearly €3 billion defense export deal with Greece, delivering a multi-layered air‑defense array including David’s Sling, SPYDER and BARAK MX, plus radars and a national command system. A supplementary €26 million deal covers Rafael’s Drone Dome. The package elevates relations amid regional tensions and Europe’s security recalibration.
Iran and the United States remain locked in a volatile standoff over a June ceasefire framework. Iran says it will reciprocate if the US returns to commitments under the MoU, while regional diplomacy at the SCO summit in Kyrgyzstan seeks to de-escalate and reopen Hormuz. Attacks in the Strait of Hormuz continue, and allied diplomacy intensifies.
The United States and Iran remain in a strained confrontation as sanctions, naval blockades, and economic pressure persist. Reports show rising fuel costs and public discomfort at home, while Iran faces internal pressures amid energy shortages and crackdowns on protests. Political leaders debate the legality and scope of the conflict, with midterm dynamics shaping how aggressively the administration pursues escalation or restraint.
AfD has won about 44% in Saxony-Anhalt, raising the possibility it could form Germany’s first far-right state government since World War II. Minority communities fear renewed hostility as elections also loom in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Parties across Germany assess the implications for democracy and policy.
Leaders from BRICS and newly admitted members have arrived in New Delhi for a two-day summit beginning Sept. 12. Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Iran’s Masoud Pezeshkian have travelled to India; Narendra Modi has held bilateral talks with several visitors. Delegates are confronting the US‑Israel war on Iran, the Ukraine conflict, trade tensions and energy security.
The Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office has appointed Lindy Cameron as its permanent secretary. She has led international diplomacy and development roles and is moving to steer the department through restructuring and budgetary pressures. The appointment comes as other top civil-service moves reshape Whitehall.
BRICS leaders have convened in New Delhi amid efforts to shape a new multipolar order. While a joint declaration has been reached, divisions on Middle East war, trade imbalances, and regional alignments remain. Xi Jinping and Narendra Modi are steering the bloc toward strategic autonomy, with tensions over balancing Western influence and internal disagreements evident.
BRICS leaders gather in New Delhi amid tensions from the US–Iran war, amid broader global upheaval. The expanded bloc faces divisions over how to respond to Middle East conflicts, energy markets, and trade wars, while stressing a Global South-led reform agenda.
The Malian army faces a major assault by JNIM at the Dioura base on Sept. 10, with hundreds of militants and civilian concerns. In response, Mali’s military leadership proclaims operational pressure while authorities note casualties and the strategic impact on security in the region.
JP Morgan has said it cannot forecast the endgame of the US–Iran conflict, noting that its baseline assumptions have been exceeded and implying that oil markets will remain volatile as corridors like the Strait of Hormuz stay disrupted. The note suggests inventories provide a cushion for now, but the outlook remains unsettled for oil, inflation and yields.
The Guardian-produced NAZA has sparked a fierce backlash in Israel after its Venice premiere and North American rollout. The film features 24 anonymous Israeli soldiers and intelligence officers describing AI-assisted targeting and civilian casualties in Gaza. Israel denies the allegations and promises to defend its soldiers, while the filmmakers face calls to revoke their citizenship.
The Yemeni Presidential Leadership Council has called for a general mobilisation and has offered amnesty to Houthi defectors, as government forces push to reclaim territory from the Houthi movement along the Red Sea coast and around Taiz. The move follows Houthi advances to Mocha and Bab al-Mandeb, with Saudi Arabia seeking regional support amid increasing attacks.
Five British men in their 20s were arrested near RAF Fairford after reports of three suspicious vans. Police have bailed the suspects and are probing possible Iranian involvement, with investigators examining proxies or foreign-state links. Iran denies involvement while authorities explore other leads, including Russia or non-state groups.
The US-led coalition has formally concluded its combat and operational presence in Iraq, winding down to an advisory role. Iraqi forces and the Kurdish Peshmerga are expected to lead security efforts, with the government emphasising sovereignty while pro-Iran factions press for disarmament and continued influence.