Turkish economist and energy expert; executive director of the IEA since 2015
New data shows the Strait of Hormuz disruption has intensified energy shortages and raised costs across Asia and other regions. Governments are maintaining subsidies in some areas while facing higher oil prices, with ripple effects on fertilizer, electricity and food prices.
Leading climate and transport groups are urging ministers to ban non-essential private jets and lower motorway speeds to blunt a looming jet fuel shortage amid geopolitical tensions. The call follows warnings that supplies could tighten this summer unless demand falls and energy sources diversify.
Negotiations between the United States and Iran have been reported to be moving toward a deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, include a 60-day truce, some sanctions relief and renewed nuclear talks. The disruption of Hormuz has already reduced oil and fertiliser flows, pushed up energy and food prices and is threatening severe economic pain for vulnerable developing countries.
Oil prices have steadied as U.S. and Iran discussions appear to move toward a resolution, with oil benchmarks stabilizing near recent highs. US stock indexes have edged higher amid hopes for progress in Middle East talks while UK equities show mixed signals. The dollar and euro trade within narrow ranges as investors weigh potential risks and policy signals.
The US‑Israel war on Iran has pushed energy, fertilizer and transport costs higher and forced global agencies to cut growth forecasts. The OECD and other groups have reduced 2026 growth projections, UNICEF has reported soaring freight bills and delivery delays, and US consumer sentiment has ticked up slightly as gas prices ease (15 June 2026).
A sustained energy shock tied to conflicts in the Middle East and rising oil prices has accelerated a move away from fossil fuels. Governments and producers are rushing to diversify energy sources, expand renewables and prepare for a future of higher energy costs and new geopolitical dynamics.
The US has carried out repeated air and naval strikes across Iran to degrade Tehran's ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has responded with missile and drone attacks on US bases and Gulf allies, and the IRGC has warned civilians near US forces to stay away; the exchanges have closed much of the strait and pushed oil prices higher.
Growing pressure surrounds North Sea developments as Labour’s Burnham weighs policy changes. Rosebank and Jackdaw face regulatory reviews and environmental scrutiny, while the EPL windfall tax looms over investment. Officials caution against early approvals as consultations wrap up, with debates centring on energy security, jobs, and climate impacts.
Oil benchmarks have fallen sharply after US President Donald Trump has said he called off planned strikes on Iran and reported that talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will begin. Brent has dropped from above $100 to about $83 and US crude has fallen below $80, while markets and bond yields are reacting to lower geopolitical risk premiums.