British physicist, head of long-range prediction at the Met Office, professor at Exeter University
El Niño has intensified, prompting authorities to warn of droughts, floods and rising humanitarian needs. Countries are mobilising financing, strengthening early warning systems and adjusting policies as temperatures and rainfall patterns shift, with aid budgets under pressure.
El Niño has formed in the Pacific and is expected to strengthen through late 2026, with a 63% chance of reaching a very strong level. Forecasts warn of hotter global temperatures and extreme weather, while impacts will vary by region. Scientists urge preparation and climate action as nations monitor evolving conditions.
UK railways face unprecedented strain as heatwaves and an El Niño-driven deluge test infrastructure. Experts call for higher temperature design standards and accelerated drainage improvements to safeguard services. Across the Guardian and other outlets, authorities warn of ongoing challenges and ongoing adaptation.
Forecasters have confirmed a very strong El Niño that has pushed Pacific sea-surface temperatures well beyond historical thresholds and is already altering global weather. The Met Office says the event is unprecedented in modern records; governments in Central and South America have declared alerts as droughts and extreme heat are damaging crops and water supplies now and into 2027.
The latest data show global sea temperatures have reached record highs in August 2026 as El Ni 0o intensifies, driven by natural variability and long-term warming. Forecasts indicate the warmth will continue into 2027, with wide-ranging impacts on weather, seas and economies. Governments warn of increased risks to vulnerable communities and fisheries.