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Meteorological agencies and the UN have reported a very strong El Niño that has continued to intensify in August 2026. Forecasts show record-warm Pacific sea-surface temperatures, rising global heat and an elevated risk of droughts, floods and food insecurity that will push tens of millions more people into acute hunger this year and next.
Air travel is constrained by extreme heat. Reports show airlines reducing weight, cargo or fuel to ensure safe departures as temperatures soar. Studies project more frequent weight-related restrictions at hot airports midcentury, with Las Vegas and Denver highlighted for rising risk.
A global heat wave trend persists into August 2026. July saw record or near-record sea surface and air temperatures across Europe and globally. Scientists warn that accelerating warming and a strong El Niño are increasing the odds that 2026 will be the hottest year on record.
Kalshi has partnered with The Weather Company to offer weather-related prediction contracts via Weather Channel platforms. The deal expands access to real-time weather probabilities, aiming to help users and businesses hedge against climate risk while sparking debate over the ethics and practicality of trading on weather events.