Harry Enten is in the news for political analysis on renewed polling and election spins. He’s a CNN senior writer/analyst, ex-FiveThirtyEight statistician.
Recent polls show 100% of MAGA voters support Trump and the Iran military strikes, with support within the GOP slightly increasing. Despite widespread disapproval among the broader public, Trump's core base remains unwavering, highlighting his strong influence over the movement even as opposition grows nationally.
As of early April 2026, President Donald Trump’s war with Iran, initiated by US and Israeli strikes on February 28, has reached a stalemate with rising oil prices and public disapproval. Trump’s political standing weakens following a key Democratic special election win in Florida. Congressional divisions deepen over war funding and election-related voting rights disputes.
Recent polls have shown President Trump’s approval ratings have dropped into the mid-30s while public concern about inflation and fuel costs has increased after the war with Iran has driven global energy prices higher; voters are expressing widespread disapproval of his handling of the economy and the Iran strikes as midterms approach.
Early mail ballots have surged in California ahead of the June 2 primary, with Republicans leading in early returns and Democrats tightening in second place. Data from Political Data Intelligence shows Republicans at 37% and Democrats at 41% of ballots returned, while independents/other make up 22%. Analysts caution that these numbers are early and may shift as campaigns unfold.