What's happened
UN and aid monitors have warned that more than 19.5 million people in Sudan are facing crisis-level food insecurity, with 135,000 in catastrophic conditions, while roughly six million Somalis are experiencing acute hunger and nearly two million children are acutely malnourished. Fighting, expanding drone strikes, failed rains, supply delays and aid cuts are constraining relief efforts (23 May 2026).
What's behind the headline?
What is driving the worsening hunger
- Armed conflict in Sudan is destroying supply routes and health infrastructure. Drone strikes have become the leading cause of civilian deaths and are repeatedly hitting markets, hospitals and fuel stores, which is cutting food, water and medical access. This is increasing the scale and depth of food insecurity.
How regional dynamics amplify the crisis
- Cross-border fighting and accusations between Sudan and Ethiopia are raising the risk of proxy escalation; control of border corridors in Blue Nile and Kordofan is determining where aid can move. That will keep displacement and supply disruption high.
Why aid is failing to reach people
- Funding shortfalls are forcing agencies to ration operations: WFP and partners are reaching well below planned targets. Global shocks — especially longer ship routes caused by the Strait of Hormuz disruption — have doubled transit times for critical therapeutic foods and raised costs, reducing on-the-ground stocks.
Near-term forecast
- Humanitarian access will remain constrained and malnutrition admissions will increase during the June–September lean season. Areas currently classified as 'at risk' will tip into catastrophe if fighting intensifies or rains fail. Donor funding shortfalls will force programme closures and reduce treatment capacity for severe acute malnutrition.
What this means for humanitarian response
- Agencies will have to prioritise emergency stabilisation over preventive nutrition at greater scale, which will increase mortality. Cross-border diplomacy and measures to limit arms/drones transfers will be required to stabilise key supply corridors; without decisive international action funding and access will keep deteriorating.
How we got here
Sudan has been at war since April 2023 between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), displacing millions and collapsing services. Somalia is facing repeated droughts and aid cuts after successive failed rainy seasons; global shipping disruptions and rising fuel and food prices have lengthened delivery times for therapeutic supplies and reduced assistance reach.
Our analysis
- The UN-backed Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) has reported that "over 19.5 million people" in Sudan are facing crisis-level food insecurity and that "135,000 people are already living in catastrophic conditions," with 14 areas at risk of famine (All Africa / IPC summary, 18 May; The New Arab, 15–21 May). - WFP Executive Director Cindy McCain is quoted by All Africa saying "Famine continues to threaten the people of Sudan," and the agencies warn that only around 20% of Sudan's 2026 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan had been funded by April (All Africa, 18 May). - The UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (Volker Türk) has said "armed drones have now become by far and away the leading cause of civilian deaths," citing at least 880 civilian deaths from drone strikes between January and April and warning strikes are spreading beyond Kordofan and Darfur (All Africa, Reuters, New Arab, 11–12 May). - On shifting frontline dynamics, Al Jazeera reported the Sudanese army has "seized the town of Khor Hassan" and is advancing in Blue Nile, while the RSF and allies have continued operations in Kordofan and near Ethiopian borders (Al Jazeera, 16–10 May). - For Somalia, IPC and FEWS NET assessments are cited by The New Arab and others showing nearly six million people facing acute hunger and that parts of Bay, Bakool and Gedo (including Burhakaba district) are "at risk of Famine" under a worst-case scenario; FEWS NET warned "If the harvest fails, Famine could rapidly emerge" (The New Arab, NY Post, 14–15 May). - WFP officials and NGO reports are describing huge operational pressure: WFP Assistant Executive Director Matthew Hollingworth said the agency is reaching "only one in ten people in need" in Somalia and warned operations could halt without new funding; Action Against Hunger has reported critical shortages of therapeutic milk and RUTF after shipping delays caused by Strait of Hormuz disruptions (All Africa, 10–12 May).
Go deeper
- Which areas in Sudan are most likely to tip into famine this summer?
- How long will current nutrition programmes in Somalia be able to operate at scale?
- What international steps are being proposed to limit drone transfers and reopen supply routes?
More on these topics
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Sudan - Country in North Africa
Sudan, officially the Republic of the Sudan, is a country in North-East Africa. It is bordered by Egypt to the north, Libya to the northwest, Chad to the west, the Central African Republic to the southwest, South Sudan to the south, Ethiopia to the southe
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Somalia - Country in East Africa
Somalia, officially the Federal Republic of Somalia, is a sovereign country in the Horn of Africa. It is bordered by Ethiopia to the west, the Gulf of Aden to the north, the Guardafui Channel and Somali Sea to the east, and Kenya to the southwest.
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World Food Programme - Nonprofit organization
The World Food Programme is the food-assistance branch of the United Nations and the world's largest humanitarian organization addressing hunger and promoting food security.
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Sudanese Armed Forces - Military
The Sudanese Armed Forces are the military forces of the Republic of the Sudan. During the 39-month transition to democracy that started in September 2019, the August 2019 Draft Constitutional Declaration defines the Supreme Commander of the Sudanese Arme
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Khartoum - Capital of Sudan
Khartoum or Khartum is the capital of Sudan. With a population of 5,274,321, its metropolitan area is the largest in Sudan, the sixth-largest in Africa, the second-largest in North Africa, and the fourth-largest in the Arab world.
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Khartoum International Airport - Airport in Khartoum, Sudan
Khartoum International Airport is the principal airport in Khartoum, the capital of Sudan.
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Ethiopia - Country in East Africa
Ethiopia, officially the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, is a landlocked country in East Africa. It shares borders with Eritrea to the north, Djibouti to the northeast, Somalia to the east, Kenya to the south, South Sudan to the west and Sudan to
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Integrated Food Security Phase Classification - Scale to measure food insecurity that spans from 1 (best) to 5 (worst)
The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, also known as IPC scale, is a tool for improving food security analysis and decision-making.
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Darfur
Darfur is a region of western Sudan. Dār is an Arabic word meaning "home [of]" – the region was named Dardaju while ruled by the Daju, who migrated from Meroë c. 350 AD, and it was renamed Dartunjur when the Tunjur ruled the area.
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United Arab Emirates - Country in the Middle East
The United Arab Emirates, sometimes simply called the Emirates, is a sovereign state in Western Asia at the northeast end of the Arabian Peninsula on the Persian Gulf, bordering Oman to the east and Saudi Arabia to the south and west, as well as sharing m
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United Nations - Intergovernmental organization
The United Nations is an intergovernmental organization that aims to maintain international peace and security, develop friendly relations among nations, achieve international cooperation, and be a centre for harmonizing the actions of nations.
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Kordofan - Geographic region of Sudan
Kordofan is a former province of central Sudan. In 1994 it was divided into three new federal states: North Kordofan, South Kordofan and West Kordofan.
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Mogadishu - Capital of Somalia
Mogadishu, locally known as Xamar or Hamar, is the capital and most populous city of Somalia. The city has served as an important port connecting with traders all round the Indian Ocean for millennia and currently has a population of 2,425,000 residents.
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UNICEF - Agency
The United Nations Children's Fund is a United Nations agency responsible for providing humanitarian and developmental aid to children worldwide.U.N. headquarters is based in New York City, it is among the most widespread and recognizable social welfare o
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Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees - United Nations agency mandated to protect and support refugees
The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) is a United Nations agency mandated to aid and protect refugees, forcibly displaced communities, and stateless people, and to assist in their voluntary repatriation, local integration
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South Sudan - Country in North Africa
South Sudan, officially known as the Republic of South Sudan, is a landlocked country in East-Central Africa. It is bordered to the east by Ethiopia, to the north by Sudan, to the west by the Central African Republic, to the south-west by Democratic Repub
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South Kordofan - State of Sudan
South Kordofan is one of the 18 wilayat or states of Sudan. It has an area of 158,355 km² and an estimated population of approximately 1,100,000 people. Kaduqli is the capital of the state. It is centered on the Nuba Hills.
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Mercy Corps - Non-governmental organization
Mercy Corps is a global non-governmental, humanitarian aid organization operating in transitional contexts that have undergone, or have been undergoing, various forms of economic, environmental, social and political instabilities.
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North Darfur - State of Sudan
North Darfur State (Arabic: ولاية شمال دارفور Wilāyat Šamāl Dārfūr; Shamal Darfor) is one of the wilayat or states of Sudan. It is one of the five states composing the Darfur region. It has an area of 296,420 km2 and an estimated popu